La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc085f9b5b4612ee05932eeae5b2934a12369cd3a9f97bd7454abfeee050e82af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 2c | 13,110$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 22c | 11,994$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 9,101$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.2 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 22c | 4,378$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…d922backed Yes | 21c | 2,538$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +462.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 21c | 2,380$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 2,232$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.07 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 79c | 2,134$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.28 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…6842backed Yes | 22c | 1,700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,437$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 55c | 1,118$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 1,037$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 31c | 645.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e3…b851backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…9266backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 2c | 439$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 22c | 410$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…6d8fbacked Yes | 28c | 396.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 47c | 298.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 20c | 290.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 64c | 270$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed Yes | 5c | 253.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 248$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed No | 80c | 236.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 68c | 232.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 67c | 230.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 21c | 190.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 32c | 164$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…2e00backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 80c | 139.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…4808backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…c1b1backed Yes | 13c | 124.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…16f8backed Yes | 46c | 112.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 63c | 95.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 71.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ef…2516backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…975fbacked No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…a130backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…886bbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 77c | 48.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 79c | 45.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 58c | 45.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbd…6d1cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed Yes | 76c | 18.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 79c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.