TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc613…6a7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst College Football at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$74.66
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$64.59
Will Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.4%+$55.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90.85
West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26.37
Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.82
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$37.11
Will Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$68.41
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$22.93
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$37.17
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$37.24
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.88
Will Comoros vs. Mali end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Angola vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$83.41
Will Algeria vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Sudan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Tunisia vs. Uganda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will South Africa vs. Angola end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$79.56
Will Mali vs. Zambia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.9%+$18.52
Will Lesotho vs. Malawi end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+43.8%+$18.47
Will Albania vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$45.12
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+37%+$14.79
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$20.18
Will Russia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$13.22
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Filsbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$88.88
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.2%+$26.5
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$40.67
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$386.77
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesanabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$96.67
Brisbane International: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyukbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$69.87
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoebacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$26.47
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$49.97
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick58cpaid+60.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.87
Will Getafe vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+58.4%+$35.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.57
Will FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$52.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+27.6%+$22.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.