Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b93ed5b32ff24ddf5a86dacc3bfe8e9c13207ef5b6728fd8f6930f9f122c9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 3,565$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.94 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 75c | 2,750$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.22 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 34c | 1,187$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.24 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 75c | 372$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 77c | 235.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b99…bad3backed Under | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 69c | 129.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 75c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b1…d0b2backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 78c | 29.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 80c | 25.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…23f8backed Over | 73c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.