Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c92fdd2e9dea42b35342e0cc6f174ab81957cc0ecdbc5a1bb31c6345b470cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 3,301$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.33 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 1,955$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.7 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,615$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.2 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 57c | 883.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 59c | 746$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 667.7$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.9 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 39c | 542.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.73 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 58c | 394.45$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 61c | 331.15$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 41c | 209$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 58c | 198.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed No | 41c | 178$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 42c | 119.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4320backed Yes | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 41c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…032cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Yes | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 61c | 81.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 56c | 71.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Yes | 59c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Yes | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 57c | 54.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 53.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Yes | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…dcdebacked No | 41c | 51.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 44c | 47.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…b38abacked No | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Yes | 60c | 41.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 51c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Yes | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 47c | 38.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Yes | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…5407backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…1c91backed Yes | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Yes | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…560abacked Yes | 60c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9f85backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…b7e7backed Yes | 61c | 17.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.