Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf850a798f5cdeab056c8881932514bed9acbfcb218807c9262d38f4d384f7db8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 7,603$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.93 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 48c | 6,210$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 41c | 2,481$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.21 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 1,905$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.41 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…7661backed Over | 54c | 1,455$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 1,093$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.87 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 53c | 947.17$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 46c | 821.43$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 765.81$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.62 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 50c | 757.1$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.43 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 669.12$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.83 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 657.69$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.12 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 46c | 649.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 614.1$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 51c | 560$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 54c | 462.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 45c | 412.51$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 350.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Over | 51c | 325.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 67c | 324$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 198$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 52c | 192.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…eadbbacked Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 183.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 46c | 180.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Under | 48c | 164.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 43c | 160.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 143.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Over | 55c | 129.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 50c | 111.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 54c | 110.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 57c | 94.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…032cbacked Over | 55c | 91.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…f89fbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 51c | 72.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 55c | 63.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9aa5backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 54c | 53.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…b5a9backed Over | 54c | 48.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 56c | 48.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…5b10backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.