TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c7,603$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.932,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under48c6,210$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over41c2,481$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.2134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c1,905$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.4158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6102…7661backed Over54c1,455$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.151369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Under1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.114647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c1,093$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.877166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304619.6%9 W · 37 L-9.9wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over54c999.95$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9812354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.2666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over53c947.17$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.172236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under46c821.43$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.862254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c765.81$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6230657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under50c757.1$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.4310744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c669.12$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c657.69$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under46c649.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c614.1$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.231,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over51c560$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5124047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Over54c462.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9616447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over45c412.51$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965040%20 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0814447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c350.14$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.063748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Over51c325.49$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.491346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Over67c324$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.921656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+54.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.521354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Under42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over50c198$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over52c192.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.471258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb403…eadbbacked Over53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c183.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under46c180.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.553740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Under48c164.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793831.6%12 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under43c160.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.25453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c143.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7638748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under46c131$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2611947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…08d0backed Over55c129.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.625459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over50c111.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.396830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Over54c110.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.110647.2%50 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over57c94.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.732356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over55c91.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under46c83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1840%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c81.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.488450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2212748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2213252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2218754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2212249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977e…f89fbacked Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c72.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over54c66.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.675358.5%31 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over55c63.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.633545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4216753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2af2…9aa5backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Over54c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over54c53.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.737639.5%30 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.962050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8450…b5a9backed Over54c48.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over56c48.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.384332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over54c48.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.151866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc8…5b10backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over40c42.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Over53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Over53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Over53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.