Premier League · resolved market
Will Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b7d0616fffdff0b7a7f0b5c2a85e5d2c7dc570332e8c29773e0d01fda53bc18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 7,839$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,887$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…446fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,344$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 1,082$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.38 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 743.47$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 723.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 637$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 369.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 61c | 175.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 14c | 162.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…702bbacked Yes | 21c | 139.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 80c | 133$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 80c | 79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 22c | 71.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 68c | 65.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 45.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 67c | 28.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…04d1backed No | 70c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.