Fifa International · resolved market
Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce155dd33a462fac40e61798e1cbed7cb342f813cd5052750d03c3277c75c951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a2…0ef2backed Yes | 15c | 15,333$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed No | 72c | 1,096$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.01 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 27c | 865.11$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 700.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.32 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 27c | 700$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 677.13$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 661.02$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 25c | 600.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 505.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 430.92$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…1443backed Yes | 25c | 405.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…1c10backed Yes | 3c | 390.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes | 28c | 363.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…3dacbacked Yes | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 328$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…6ad7backed Yes | 27c | 295.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…631fbacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 240.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…67e2backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed No | 75c | 160.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 9c | 138.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 132.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 25c | 88.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 83.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 82.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 24c | 82.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 77c | 80.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 27c | 78.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 24c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 74c | 61.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 26c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 26c | 53.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 73c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 39cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 77c | 28.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 77c | 18.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?this page
- Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-18?No won
- Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.