Fifa International · resolved market
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x047df26289ea109eb6628de650a2f9a3af67c6c21511af8f2b0ad0dade5a1870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 70,000$41,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,700 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 41c | 55,481$22,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,747.28 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 40c | 15,716$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,286.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 60c | 15,716$9,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,286.39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 13,587$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.47 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…4925backed No | 42c | 13,000$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed No | 41c | 11,000$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,509.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 10,460$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.42 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 61c | 10,306$6,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.41 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 8,631$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.1 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 7,131$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Yes | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 37c | 6,892$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.62 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 38c | 6,437$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.94 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Yes | 57c | 5,295$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 37c | 4,200$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.73 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 25c | 3,732$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.65 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 27c | 3,267$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.15 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 41c | 3,011$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.46 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked No | 17c | 2,711$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 56c | 2,703$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.42 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 5c | 2,372$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Yes | 62c | 2,344$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 41c | 2,294$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 63c | 2,198$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.41 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.94 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,873$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…8ff3backed Yes | 58c | 1,850$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b486backed No | 41c | 1,850$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,540$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.66 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 42c | 1,376$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.85 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,337$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.3 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 63c | 1,251$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 1,182$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.33 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 36c | 1,181$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 6c | 1,041$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,038$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.09 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 43c | 999.98$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 59c | 838.35$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.13 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 762.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 64c | 692.26$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.47 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 38c | 677$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 42c | 643.33$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 45c | 636$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.06 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…6ad7backed Yes | 59c | 584.03$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 42c | 499.95$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…d266backed No | 44c | 469.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 61c | 445.9$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…b841backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd9…e8f3backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a79…b116backed Yes | 59c | 306.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 63c | 291.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…9f30backed Yes | 56c | 273$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 271.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…1c10backed No | 4c | 266.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 38c | 253$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 60c | 251.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 56c | 251.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…6583backed No | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…83f0backed Yes | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 221.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 204.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…881bbacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…2c2abacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…42dcbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…1c00backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 22c | 199.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…c8bbbacked No | 7c | 198.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-18?No won
- Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.