TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb36…1c00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$186
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$38.95
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$87.5
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$52.5
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63%+$115.95
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$220
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$473
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.78
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$37.1
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.2
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: TCU (-3.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
California vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$43.7
Tennessee vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
TCU vs. Houstonbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
TCU vs. BYUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+669.2%+$104.4
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Statebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$146
NC State vs. Pittsburghbacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.81
Texas vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Texas A&M vs. Arkansasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
San Jose State vs. Utah Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
TCU vs. Kansas Statebacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
TCU vs. Arizona Statebacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.1
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$321.6
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.