Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a0e84dd78c89037c7aa76d9898e189bf67b455cc4f93129bbdca3e001a3c442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 74c | 26,309$19,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840.34 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 13,942$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 32c | 8,490$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.63 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 26c | 7,342$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.78 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 63c | 5,978$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 34c | 3,456$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.1 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 64c | 2,488$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 26c | 2,402$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.7 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 29c | 2,050$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.78 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,019$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.39 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 61c | 1,864$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 25c | 1,558$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.68 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 66c | 1,555$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 74c | 1,479$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.24 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 26c | 1,434$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.78 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…8714backed Yes | 76c | 1,320$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,052$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.34 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 27c | 943.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.79 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 13c | 878$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 28c | 802.49$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 26c | 780.21$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.53 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 73c | 645.77$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 75c | 633.33$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 65c | 605$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 74c | 558.64$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 505.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 33c | 441.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.79 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 74c | 266.22$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 10c | 252.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 19c | 230$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 63c | 201.05$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 65c | 183.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 9c | 177.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed No | 26c | 174.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 71c | 153.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 133.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 27c | 109.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 99.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 75c | 97.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…d892backed Yes | 62c | 96.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 72c | 80.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 76.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…d265backed Yes | 73c | 76.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…b70cbacked Yes | 73c | 67.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…e2f1backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…5bd0backed Yes | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 74c | 55.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…2d33backed Yes | 75c | 54.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 74c | 52.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 74c | 49.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ae…ccefbacked Yes | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…95a7backed No | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…b7c5backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…d198backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 26c | 38.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…5592backed Yes | 73c | 37.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…199dbacked Yes | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 73c | 34.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 34.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…2d48backed Yes | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…e8c6backed Yes | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 73c | 28.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…c246backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hungary win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Armenia win on 2025-10-11?No won
- Will Hungary vs. Armenia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.