College Football · resolved market
NC State vs. Pittsburgh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395b93b3d7a61de8960be73ac47c89ee2e1008f3b962b1a1fc089f96e791c43e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburghof NC State, Pittsburgh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked NC State | 25c | 9,945$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.22 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pittsburgh | 74c | 4,564$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.69 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pittsburgh | 65c | 4,206$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked NC State | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh | 77c | 3,881$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.53 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pittsburgh | 66c | 3,593$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.74 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed NC State | 12c | 3,412$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.44 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed NC State | 33c | 2,668$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.5 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked NC State | 34c | 2,511$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.74 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed NC State | 34c | 2,250$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.11 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh | 76c | 1,515$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.15 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pittsburgh | 67c | 1,499$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed NC State | 33c | 1,430$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.79 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…317ebacked NC State | 34c | 1,032$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh | 66c | 1,031$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.61 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed NC State | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Pittsburgh | 66c | 934.57$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh | 76c | 898.42$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.58 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh | 78c | 806.69$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh | 67c | 538$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…1c00backed NC State | 12c | 505.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed NC State | 7c | 488$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pittsburgh | 67c | 482.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed NC State | 16c | 257.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked NC State | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed NC State | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked NC State | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Pittsburgh | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Pittsburgh | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked NC State | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed NC State | 33c | 121.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed NC State | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…a10bbacked NC State | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed NC State | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…a2e2backed NC State | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed NC State | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pittsburgh | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed NC State | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…d998backed NC State | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…2354backed NC State | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked Pittsburgh | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Pittsburgh | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NC State vs. Pittsburghthis page
- NC State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 56.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)Pittsburgh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.