TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd297…2c15backed Yes31c26,938$8,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,247.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c14,458$10,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.034,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes29c13,814$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.615841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed No73c9,658$7,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No71c6,839$4,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.1124147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No70c6,214$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.139459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes3c6,060$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Yes27c5,529$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes29c4,883$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.391435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes28c3,525$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9992931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes28c3,270$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes29c2,892$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.131526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes30c2,674$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.196944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes10c2,581$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1740033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes28c2,337$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3315750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes3c2,300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7320255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No73c2,151$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.0627453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes3c2,008$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes27c1,700$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4668521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes28c1,635$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c1,630$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.433,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x512b…c0c3backed No72c1,498$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243b…64f2backed Yes29c1,497$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No77c1,107$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6114067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Yes12c989.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb36…1c00backed Yes28c900$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes29c831$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9914540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed No72c825.08$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.021894.4%17 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+49.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes29c793.1$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c734$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes29c689.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes29c661.09$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3816926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes31c654.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes30c600.52$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.457045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c589.93$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes28c584.37$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.889154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes29c548$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.921618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No72c513.51$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.781070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes9c501.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No70c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Yes25c487.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.353050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes23c389.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.529038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes9c366.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No73c343.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…83e3backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Yes28c299.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked No73c275.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.85666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca6…e486backed Yes29c268.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…d799backed Yes29c251.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x790d…9995backed No70c249.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes17c242.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8242…d392backed Yes31c222.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c6…c26dbacked No72c211.81$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.335451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.333467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb19…21e4backed No73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Yes8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1670%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No69c199.95$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9821355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d19…bb47backed No70c183$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5060…79c4backed Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c0a…4912backed Yes30c178.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa137…06d7backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Yes31c162.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes30c161.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc47…15d4backed No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f4…d10cbacked Yes22c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…9b21backed Yes30c148$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc711…bf1dbacked No71c140.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes29c139.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.071546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No72c137.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57363%46 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Yes12c124.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No73c116.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.441573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Yes28c116.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.592147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes28c111$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0820945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefe1…84b0backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed No73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.741560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes31c100.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7401…da60backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…1850backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78de…b08bbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes30c98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.945646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a40…904abacked No71c97.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes29c90.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.598552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcede…a538backed No72c90.01$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.