TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd814…7f65backed No73c31,477$22,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,645.491643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes28c17,000$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7601050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3643…27c0backed Yes29c16,807$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No74c14,960$11,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,887.3227453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No71c10,880$7,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.6615750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes29c10,519$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes10c10,448$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.084,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7002924.1%7 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No72c5,412$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.49536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed No72c5,077$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed No72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.98560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes28c2,869$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.441526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes28c1,912$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.365841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes27c1,822$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3710250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes11c1,780$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bff…e03abacked Yes24c1,500$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa86b…79debacked Yes28c1,463$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45a2…73c6backed No73c1,419$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c1,377$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.973,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Yes28c1,363$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes28c1,111$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3116944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes9c1,090$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-65.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes20c1,002$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.47445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa8…9a51backed Yes28c928.57$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes23c857.09$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.135367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes28c742.86$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes27c681.48$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes28c535$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.81560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes8c520$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked No73c437.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.851266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4123855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes29c392.24$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.757844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes14c390.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6230743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c362.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.820255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2633…1930backed Yes28c356.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x897d…686ebacked Yes7c350.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes19c309.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0a…8887backed Yes28c275$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddc…63edbacked Yes8c266.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Yes12c239.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.470%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08d6…130fbacked Yes27c231.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed No73c220$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.45248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x169e…8746backed Yes28c217.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…7914backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed No73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a9…1f13backed No73c197.26$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a27…5c70backed Yes28c196.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5060…79c4backed Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98f4…bd19backed Yes14c176.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes28c160.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No76c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c149.73$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…58cbbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…ff57backed Yes28c132.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes18c127$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No80c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.623762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes17c115.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes26c105$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes29c104.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bb0…c901backed Yes27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes28c92.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.812538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d7…8b82backed Yes27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef4…8506backed No74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2533…d1d5backed No74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33d…797fbacked No74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8faa…d4efbacked No74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347f…df2abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e4…96f8backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9616…d96dbacked No73c71.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67b…4a7abacked Yes28c70.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61450%7 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No73c68.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa520…e1a2backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No72c63.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4165…17abbacked No73c63.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…657fbacked No73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5f…7aa7backed No74c60.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes28c60.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No79c57.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0716962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x496e…5690backed Yes25c56.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No73c56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.