TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$512,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No35c125,139$43,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,675.554,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes45c55,036$24,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,344.812365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No55c40,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No55c35,277$19,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,449.529536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes44c30,909$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,309.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes69c28,889$19,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,004.226051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No48c20,453$9,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,810.9227453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No56c20,036$11,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,220.111435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No32c16,004$5,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,122.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes45c14,926$6,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,242.051338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes45c14,628$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,045.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No55c14,152$7,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,783.465040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No56c14,030$7,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,856.737139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes44c10,986$4,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,098.441526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No26c10,534$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.0412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c6,862$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.28777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No57c5,897$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.294753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No55c5,508$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.6815750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes45c5,048$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80053246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No56c4,351$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.79459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes44c4,031$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.755841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes63c3,987$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad56…93dabacked No57c3,800$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf72c…33e7backed Yes44c3,800$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf719…c6c6backed No57c3,600$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a9…69e7backed Yes44c3,600$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa1…26a3backed No57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72b…56b0backed Yes44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.957060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No56c3,255$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.619028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c3,159$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.3850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes68c3,063$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9821861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No5c3,039$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.578143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No5c3,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9613046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes45c2,889$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes45c2,879$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.427045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c2,854$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.363,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3314…c66bbacked Yes45c2,776$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No14c2,693$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.7160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed No56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-82%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87af…2ce7backed Yes44c2,303$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.212931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed No20c1,818$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.862433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No22c1,732$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes45c1,700$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9358142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df7…fe40backed Yes45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15df…9465backed Yes46c1,304$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes44c1,295$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.362857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes45c1,103$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6051241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No8c1,038$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.02944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No55c975.85$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.722646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes61c960.43$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.4328342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e8…14cdbacked Yes45c939.22$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes45c913.93$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.072951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d3…4908backed Yes44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.09850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffab…a290backed Yes44c865.82$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes45c811.67$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4216036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes43c799.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46021355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes44c775.62$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes45c774.67$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.071894.4%17 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+49.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked No55c711.73$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.453727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Yes71c704.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa8…9a51backed Yes45c693.33$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes44c683.53$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.117632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b993backed No57c681.95$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes45c630.33$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes46c619.57$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked No55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No56c599.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9914348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes44c569.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.65875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6640…2ffebacked Yes72c554.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.04580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes46c544$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.761675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Yes45c533.04$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Yes41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2953455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f93…cb87backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No56c453.79$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.669560%57 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0971…83abbacked Yes44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes45c444$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.22770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No57c421.81$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes45c416.15$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.634131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes72c415.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.382373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No10c403.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd5…6dbdbacked Yes45c400.93$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204060%24 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No56c399.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9918650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…83e3backed Yes76c395.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.