College Football · resolved market
TCU vs. Houston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3adab65cce33953d8837df0c16143df2beb74b4c4a5f36b69cde96b1dd7e99f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCUof TCU, Houston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Houston | 57c | 43,884$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed TCU | 48c | 32,020$15,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,670.45 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Houston | 52c | 22,298$11,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,594.99 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU | 50c | 16,816$8,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,379.35 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed TCU | 49c | 16,724$8,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,529.48 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Houston | 50c | 15,979$8,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,008.82 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed TCU | 47c | 12,108$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,433.7 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked TCU | 68c | 11,635$7,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.45 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed TCU | 68c | 11,331$7,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.33 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed TCU | 56c | 10,773$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.06 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston | 35c | 8,672$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.58 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston | 30c | 6,000$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.93 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston | 34c | 5,650$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.93 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston | 27c | 5,465$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.48 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked TCU | 51c | 4,878$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.22 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed TCU | 59c | 4,809$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.49 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Houston | 29c | 4,264$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.16 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9727…335cbacked Houston | 35c | 3,995$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked TCU | 47c | 3,400$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Houston | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed TCU | 53c | 2,607$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.29 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked TCU | 53c | 2,410$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.53 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Houston | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Houston | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked TCU | 52c | 1,997$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.35 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed TCU | 48c | 1,800$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.45 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Houston | 51c | 1,791$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.88 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Houston | 26c | 1,770$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.62 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston | 31c | 1,602$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.84 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston | 47c | 1,535$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.45 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Houston | 29c | 1,483$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.76 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Houston | 47c | 1,356$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.32 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Houston | 49c | 1,102$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Houston | 50c | 1,018$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Houston | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed TCU | 65c | 943.82$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.74 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed TCU | 50c | 803.02$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.51 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston | 36c | 754.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU | 48c | 676.57$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed TCU | 48c | 668.8$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.66 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Houston | 28c | 664.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Houston | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Houston | 35c | 572.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed TCU | 75c | 531.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Houston | 47c | 520.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed TCU | 52c | 494.97$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.68 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston | 38c | 487$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed TCU | 56c | 469$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…d977backed Houston | 49c | 408.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed TCU | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Houston | 32c | 392.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed TCU | 51c | 380.07$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Houston | 28c | 359.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed TCU | 60c | 336.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…da3bbacked Houston | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Houston | 24c | 311.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Houston | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU | 71c | 259.09$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Houston | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed TCU | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Houston | 53c | 237.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Houston | 53c | 227.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Houston | 51c | 218.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed TCU | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Houston | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Houston | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Houston | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…1c00backed TCU | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Houston | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Houston | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Houston | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Houston | 50c | 187.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Houston | 21c | 164.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Houston | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed Houston | 32c | 135.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Houston | 52c | 130.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked TCU | 69c | 116.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Houston | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Houston | 47c | 111.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Houston | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed TCU | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Houston | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked Houston | 48c | 103.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Houston | 34c | 103.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed TCU | 53c | 102.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Houston | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Houston | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Houston | 36c | 99.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Houston | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Houston | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed TCU | 49c | 94.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Houston | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Houston | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Houston | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Houston | 50c | 80.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed TCU | 61c | 79.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +10.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Houston | 37c | 75.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Houston | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed TCU | 77c | 65.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU vs. Houstonthis page
- Spread: Houston (-1.5)TCU won
- TCU vs. Houston: 1H MoneylineTCU won
- TCU vs. Houston: O/U 55.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.