NFL · resolved market
Titans vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc845fc87d66cc35e650fda42835faa687a08569d04d1ecbccb8faeb67369c0a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Titans, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $832,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $801,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Titans | 36c | 123,587$44,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,043.73 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raiders | 64c | 103,683$66,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,022.54 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Titans | 30c | 99,933$30,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,228.78 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Titans | 34c | 54,237$18,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,508.43 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Titans | 3c | 48,554$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.63 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Raiders | 64c | 48,320$30,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,395.32 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Raiders | 69c | 35,000$24,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,849.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raiders | 64c | 31,559$20,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,361.33 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Titans | 4c | 25,978$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.72 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Titans | 5c | 20,131$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Raiders | 65c | 16,062$10,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.59 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Raiders | 68c | 11,857$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.98 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Titans | 8c | 10,710$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.08 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Titans | 1c | 9,350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Raiders | 64c | 8,853$5,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.94 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Titans | 0c | 8,616$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Titans | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Titans | 37c | 8,220$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raiders | 71c | 8,084$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.89 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Titans | 33c | 7,812$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.81 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raiders | 66c | 7,246$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.77 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Titans | 13c | 7,174$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Titans | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.86 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Titans | 1c | 6,944$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Titans | 37c | 6,757$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Titans | 33c | 6,719$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.29 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raiders | 65c | 6,359$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.4 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Titans | 31c | 6,027$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.3 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Titans | 1c | 5,660$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Titans | 31c | 5,621$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.69 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Titans | 31c | 5,381$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.2 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Titans | 34c | 5,169$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raiders | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Titans | 16c | 4,863$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.95 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raiders | 63c | 4,851$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.79 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Titans | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raiders | 69c | 4,708$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.37 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Titans | 6c | 4,575$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Titans | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raiders | 75c | 4,395$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.09 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Titans | 20c | 4,366$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.44 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Raiders | 70c | 3,734$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.18 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Raiders | 64c | 3,633$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.94 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Raiders | 70c | 3,551$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.45 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Titans | 0c | 3,550$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raiders | 66c | 3,400$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.37 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Titans | 31c | 3,249$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.17 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Raiders | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Titans | 20c | 3,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Titans | 31c | 2,997$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.14 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Raiders | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Titans | 34c | 2,813$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.62 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked Titans | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raiders | 65c | 2,723$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.95 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Titans | 20c | 2,642$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.44 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Raiders | 76c | 2,616$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.12 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Titans | 31c | 2,326$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.14 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Titans | 27c | 2,258$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Titans | 2c | 2,174$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raiders | 70c | 2,139$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.8 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Raiders | 64c | 2,089$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.53 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Titans | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Titans | 30c | 1,972$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.5 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +13.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Titans | 35c | 1,928$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.81 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Titans | 29c | 1,925$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Titans | 36c | 1,909$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Titans | 29c | 1,826$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.58 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…8603backed Raiders | 67c | 1,809$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…3cc4backed Titans | 34c | 1,809$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Raiders | 64c | 1,800$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Titans | 1c | 1,787$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…85b2backed Titans | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Raiders | 64c | 1,701$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Titans | 32c | 1,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Raiders | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Titans | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raiders | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Titans | 17c | 1,448$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Raiders | 64c | 1,409$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Titans | 33c | 1,370$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.09 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Titans | 29c | 1,284$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.33 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raiders | 67c | 1,277$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.51 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raiders | 76c | 1,213$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…8753backed Titans | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…1e48backed Titans | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…5aa0backed Titans | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…f4f4backed Raiders | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raiders | 69c | 1,188$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.37 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Titans | 36c | 1,131$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Titans | 4c | 1,093$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Raiders | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Titans | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Raiders | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Titans | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Titans | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Titans | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Titans | 26c | 991$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Titans | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raiders | 63c | 917.38$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.43 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Titans | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Titans vs. Raidersthis page
- Spread: Raiders (-3.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Raiders (-4.5)Raiders won
- Titans vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.