NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22438911c66b94e8118a4810b86a38e6fc17ad2ba92ca463533200ad68e15aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,595,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,723,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,595,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,045 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Bucks | 44c | 200,000$88,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,999.99 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks | 47c | 155,216$73,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,130.45 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Raptors | 54c | 120,510$64,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,865.19 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Raptors | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 53c | 100,000$53,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,199.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Bucks | 47c | 90,057$41,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,107.36 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bucks | 46c | 86,663$40,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,541.6 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bucks | 46c | 77,326$35,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,756.26 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Raptors | 53c | 73,512$38,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,996.33 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 54c | 50,015$27,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,008.15 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,199.98 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raptors | 56c | 39,973$22,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,328.55 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…7ccbbacked Bucks | 48c | 38,767$18,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,158.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Raptors | 54c | 30,899$16,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,685.51 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Bucks | 47c | 29,623$13,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,764.21 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bucks | 47c | 22,000$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,660 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 7c | 20,611$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.93 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bucks | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 22c | 17,046$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.9 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Raptors | 50c | 15,961$8,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.28 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Raptors | 52c | 15,375$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.87 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…0a2dbacked Bucks | 50c | 15,123$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,561.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd4…15d8backed Raptors | 50c | 15,123$7,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,561.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Raptors | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.99 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Raptors | 53c | 13,874$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296.01 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 48c | 12,366$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,446.87 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…42e8backed Bucks | 47c | 12,150$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1b…acd1backed Raptors | 53c | 11,996$6,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,345.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors | 16c | 11,514$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.06 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bucks | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Bucks | 47c | 10,621$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.28 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Bucks | 44c | 10,315$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,815.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors | 51c | 10,300$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 51c | 10,000$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.81 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Raptors | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bucks | 43c | 8,500$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.99 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 51c | 8,393$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks | 62c | 8,014$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.13 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Raptors | 66c | 7,656$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,042.56 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…b587backed Bucks | 47c | 7,498$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Raptors | 53c | 6,758$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Bucks | 49c | 6,735$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.69 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c5…668ebacked Raptors | 52c | 6,209$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…875bbacked Bucks | 47c | 5,920$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…152dbacked Raptors | 53c | 5,913$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 54c | 5,553$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.62 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 37c | 5,196$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.21 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 47c | 5,000$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.01 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raptors | 42c | 4,950$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.29 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…db18backed Bucks | 48c | 4,891$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Bucks | 45c | 4,685$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.67 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 56c | 4,662$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 46c | 4,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Bucks | 40c | 4,033$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 43c | 3,724$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Raptors | 55c | 3,680$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.34 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Bucks | 45c | 3,659$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.82 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Bucks | 45c | 3,435$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…906abacked Bucks | 50c | 3,307$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raptors | 52c | 3,250$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…ec95backed Bucks | 48c | 3,140$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…86fdbacked Bucks | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Raptors | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.9 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Bucks | 42c | 2,672$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.46 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 46c | 2,603$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 42c | 2,599$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.3 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raptors | 52c | 2,550$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.48 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…14ccbacked Raptors | 57c | 2,433$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Raptors | 55c | 2,357$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.18 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Raptors | 52c | 2,301$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.45 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,299$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Raptors | 42c | 2,208$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.33 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bucks | 46c | 2,163$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.26 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Bucks | 48c | 2,100$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Bucks | 47c | 2,050$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…c4fcbacked Bucks | 49c | 2,047$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ae…8c34backed Bucks | 49c | 2,045$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bucks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Raptors | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…9cb1backed Raptors | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…c681backed Raptors | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…a440backed Bucks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Raptors | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 51c | 2,000$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks | 46c | 2,000$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.96 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f3…30c3backed Raptors | 52c | 1,929$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…50b6backed Raptors | 52c | 1,927$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bucks | 44c | 1,913$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.09 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…ee84backed Bucks | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854a…aed0backed Raptors | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Bucks | 75c | 1,830$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.58 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…aaa8backed Raptors | 52c | 1,822$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…cd11backed Raptors | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…b7d2backed Raptors | 51c | 1,750$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…d3b1backed Bucks | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Raptors | 28c | 1,702$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.12 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,657$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 52c | 1,649$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.86 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Raptorsthis page
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.