NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb835d57307ff79030bf09dc19e61ca7dbbd27f3b733f54c01d3e6e92f83a56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Over | 57c | 52,000$29,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,360 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…d2d0backed Under | 43c | 28,673$12,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,329.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…e415backed Over | 57c | 25,322$14,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,888.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…8b09backed Under | 43c | 21,040$9,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,047.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Over | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…82c9backed Under | 43c | 15,288$6,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,573.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e599backed Under | 43c | 11,785$5,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…4e09backed Under | 43c | 11,507$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…1e67backed Over | 57c | 10,036$5,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…2bccbacked Over | 57c | 9,923$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…bd69backed Under | 43c | 9,795$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…92adbacked Over | 57c | 8,726$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…78b1backed Under | 43c | 8,637$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…b6ffbacked Over | 57c | 8,363$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…44b9backed Under | 43c | 7,375$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa694…7acfbacked Under | 43c | 7,057$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…e65ebacked Under | 43c | 7,005$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…c419backed Over | 57c | 5,296$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x173b…baf5backed Under | 43c | 5,178$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…7f66backed Under | 43c | 5,044$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…15f8backed Under | 43c | 4,676$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…bc6bbacked Under | 43c | 4,538$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…08f7backed Over | 57c | 4,475$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…3bedbacked Over | 57c | 4,377$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f3b3backed Under | 43c | 4,237$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c5…2316backed Over | 57c | 4,196$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…b3b2backed Over | 57c | 4,071$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…d2b2backed Under | 43c | 4,039$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…d4c9backed Under | 43c | 3,702$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…08d1backed Under | 43c | 3,460$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…b717backed Under | 43c | 3,434$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…65a5backed Under | 43c | 3,206$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecf…06f9backed Over | 57c | 3,184$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8139…9ee6backed Over | 57c | 2,619$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…15a6backed Over | 57c | 2,580$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…6cf3backed Over | 57c | 2,511$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…174bbacked Over | 57c | 2,498$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…3954backed Over | 57c | 2,466$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…18c6backed Over | 57c | 2,447$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…1550backed Over | 57c | 2,436$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…530dbacked Under | 43c | 2,371$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 54c | 2,165$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…4f98backed Under | 43c | 2,133$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…6e8dbacked Under | 43c | 2,063$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…3ff1backed Under | 43c | 2,007$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…a61ebacked Under | 43c | 1,886$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…929bbacked Under | 43c | 1,558$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 44c | 1,546$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.91 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…72e9backed Over | 57c | 1,381$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,339$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb690…8efbbacked Over | 57c | 1,192$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x992c…3ae9backed Over | 57c | 1,168$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…3141backed Over | 57c | 1,086$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.71 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…1b72backed Over | 57c | 1,002$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…1251backed Over | 57c | 836$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…0f60backed Under | 43c | 783$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…f402backed Under | 43c | 705$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 42c | 678.19$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09c…8f1bbacked Under | 43c | 674$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 57c | 657.89$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…012ebacked Under | 43c | 582$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Under | 43c | 537$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…797abacked Over | 57c | 537$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…e14cbacked Over | 57c | 512$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…e8a7backed Under | 43c | 490$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…0c17backed Under | 43c | 464$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…e07abacked Under | 43c | 437$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…42e1backed Over | 57c | 397$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…a4bdbacked Over | 57c | 385$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…531abacked Over | 57c | 372$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 58c | 351$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…4eaebacked Over | 59c | 339.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…c524backed Over | 57c | 277$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 60c | 169$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…7b81backed Under | 43c | 166$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 40c | 156$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90c…acf0backed Over | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…b210backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb9…dfa7backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…7deabacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Under | 45c | 34.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 56c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…151abacked Under | 50c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5this page
- Bucks vs. RaptorsBucks won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.