College Football · resolved market
Arizona State vs. Iowa State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0775444f301d576c286308f74019b2615a5468280c388dd489141bed2d79b8b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Stateof Arizona State, Iowa State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,044,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,092,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Arizona State | 29c | 607,774$176,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430,909.68 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Iowa State | 71c | 81,151$57,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,335.27 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Iowa State | 70c | 76,838$53,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,959.76 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Iowa State | 71c | 75,000$53,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,250 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Iowa State | 31c | 47,886$14,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,975.53 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Iowa State | 71c | 47,263$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.69 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa State | 72c | 43,680$31,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,362.74 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Iowa State | 72c | 39,242$28,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,083.79 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Arizona State | 29c | 27,000$7,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,174.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Iowa State | 71c | 26,879$19,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,083.88 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Iowa State | 71c | 26,076$18,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,489.07 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iowa State | 17c | 20,730$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.99 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Iowa State | 71c | 20,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Iowa State | 71c | 19,553$13,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,882.63 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Iowa State | 71c | 19,277$13,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,686.98 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa State | 71c | 18,401$13,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,065.06 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa State | 71c | 13,449$9,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,548.99 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Iowa State | 70c | 12,819$9,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,022.76 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Iowa State | 64c | 11,745$7,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,521.95 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Iowa State | 70c | 11,111$7,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777.7 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Iowa State | 71c | 10,891$7,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,742.28 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iowa State | 71c | 9,500$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Iowa State | 72c | 9,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Iowa State | 72c | 7,500$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona State | 68c | 7,005$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.36 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Arizona State | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.55 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iowa State | 50c | 5,645$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.81 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa State | 35c | 5,068$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.14 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arizona State | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Arizona State | 70c | 4,102$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Arizona State | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Arizona State | 79c | 3,457$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Iowa State | 34c | 3,333$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Iowa State | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…e1e0backed Arizona State | 71c | 2,964$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Arizona State | 33c | 2,757$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.3 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona State | 58c | 2,206$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.66 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Iowa State | 71c | 1,816$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.59 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Iowa State | 71c | 1,604$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.15 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…8145backed Arizona State | 19c | 1,584$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +428%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arizona State | 41c | 1,521$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.27 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa State | 71c | 1,506$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.03 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Iowa State | 72c | 1,452$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Arizona State | 79c | 1,452$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked Arizona State | 28c | 1,450$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa861…8ec4backed Iowa State | 72c | 1,388$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Arizona State | 29c | 1,380$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Iowa State | 70c | 1,316$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.84 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Iowa State | 71c | 1,273$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.57 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Iowa State | 13c | 1,224$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Iowa State | 74c | 1,182$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Arizona State | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Iowa State | 71c | 1,056$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked Iowa State | 64c | 1,053$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa State | 43c | 1,014$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.82 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Iowa State | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Iowa State | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Arizona State | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Arizona State | 69c | 964.45$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Iowa State | 73c | 958.87$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Arizona State | 32c | 931.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.6 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…b3d7backed Arizona State | 64c | 897.91$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State | 71c | 835$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.85 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Arizona State | 65c | 821.09$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Iowa State | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Iowa State | 72c | 758$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.76 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa State | 47c | 742.06$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.48 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Arizona State | 27c | 700$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Iowa State | 68c | 697$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.96 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed Iowa State | 31c | 651.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Iowa State | 72c | 613$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.36 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Arizona State | 59c | 600$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Arizona State | 38c | 583.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arizona State | 64c | 559.95$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Arizona State | 38c | 529.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Iowa State | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Arizona State | 27c | 428.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Arizona State | 43c | 420$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.13 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Iowa State | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Iowa State | 64c | 400$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked Arizona State | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona State | 35c | 397$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Arizona State | 76c | 394.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Arizona State | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…d028backed Arizona State | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Iowa State | 37c | 326.64$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Iowa State | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Iowa State | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Iowa State | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Arizona State | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Arizona State | 69c | 297.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Arizona State | 38c | 295.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.42 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Arizona State | 31c | 287.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5577backed Arizona State | 80c | 274.14$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Iowa State | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…d9d2backed Iowa State | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Arizona State | 26c | 248$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Iowa State | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…2597backed Arizona State | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Iowa State | 78c | 206.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona State vs. Iowa Statethis page
- Arizona State vs. Iowa State: O/U 48.5Under won
- Arizona State vs. Iowa State: O/U 49.5Under won
- O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State (-5.5)Arizona State won
- Spread: Iowa State (-7.5)Arizona State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.