TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe4cb…d9d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$920
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,952Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$550.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajdabacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,586.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$653.52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barriosbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$423.39
Zadar: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$156.31
Miami Open, Qualification: Caroline Dolehide vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$797.2
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Martin Landaluce vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$312.15
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Dino Prizmic vs Justin Engelbacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.91
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$363.46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$104.11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$529.64
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$387.44
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$189.44
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.58
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$3,314.98
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$113.62
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$315
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$36.4
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.1%+$42.47
All 6 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$225
Devils vs. Utahbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$224
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$457.61
Maple Leafs vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+142.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+209.7%+$2,711.85
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$162.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$237.9
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+83.7%+$64.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.1%+$698.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$739.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$311.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.