TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Zealandof New Zealand, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$729,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,035 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked South Africa42c31,292$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.961241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed South Africa7c26,478$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.5416349.7%81 W · 82 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed South Africa25c24,581$6,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,192.4415335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked South Africa12c24,518$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.5336445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked New Zealand76c18,666$14,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,452.711040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa28c15,429$4,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,301.9433042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed South Africa35c15,350$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3204022.5%9 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed New Zealand47c15,338$7,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,150.563537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed South Africa18c13,505$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.214637%17 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked South Africa25c10,011$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.426130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed South Africa33c9,718$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,248.1231543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd780…e5bdbacked South Africa24c7,826$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.855843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed South Africa1c7,430$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3513227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Zealand58c7,273$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.354254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b88…b89abacked New Zealand57c5,921$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.833262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed South Africa16c5,535$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.0332337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed New Zealand59c5,448$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed South Africa10c5,306$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.394839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed New Zealand61c5,204$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.723863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed South Africa38c4,885$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.7919862.6%124 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed New Zealand64c4,688$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked New Zealand60c4,614$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.9410863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed New Zealand61c4,561$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.869851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x688e…148dbacked New Zealand66c4,368$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079a…d3dfbacked New Zealand73c4,121$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.4410763.6%68 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed South Africa41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6402850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked South Africa21c3,864$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.022454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed New Zealand61c3,697$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.514671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed South Africa39c3,550$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.574242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed South Africa5c3,277$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.731027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed South Africa41c3,092$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.1815429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c988backed New Zealand60c3,084$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.51560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Africa36c2,846$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.2463646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c68…072dbacked South Africa41c2,780$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.86237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed South Africa2c2,688$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.968946.1%41 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed New Zealand66c2,525$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.611163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed South Africa7c2,456$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1213336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed South Africa41c2,447$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.114250%21 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked South Africa41c2,295$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.634117.1%7 W · 34 L-6.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-64.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfecd…e7ebbacked South Africa25c2,162$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.014146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x623c…ea2fbacked New Zealand58c2,006$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.671553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8e…f961backed South Africa41c1,670$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…bce2backed South Africa3c1,625$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed South Africa21c1,510$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31719450%97 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed South Africa3c1,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032415.7%51 W · 273 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c32…175cbacked South Africa32c1,480$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edd…be0fbacked South Africa2c1,389$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8611424.6%28 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked South Africa40c1,237$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked South Africa9c1,232$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119320.4%19 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…eb4fbacked New Zealand61c1,214$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…38ebbacked South Africa19c1,211$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.16119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-73.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked South Africa35c1,196$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.4764143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed South Africa53c1,149$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4514852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked South Africa47c1,110$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.463237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked South Africa41c1,070$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Africa35c1,002$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7542344.2%187 W · 236 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed New Zealand60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed South Africa40c999.94$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.985046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x037a…1202backed South Africa20c990$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.97146.5%33 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe36f…1ef4backed South Africa44c900$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3946752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed New Zealand71c835.39$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked New Zealand54c800$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37210132.7%33 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed South Africa37c764.32$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.87131%22 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dad…5386backed South Africa34c745.96$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2577549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked South Africa40c715.95$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1676351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed New Zealand63c696.33$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.7167931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd033…a7c1backed South Africa15c682.63$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.613834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2319…c571backed South Africa3c676.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb5…fc57backed South Africa41c632.69$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed South Africa44c620.45$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed New Zealand61c611.51$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5117155.6%95 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa461…ab70backed South Africa56c607$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.89034.4%31 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3a…3045backed South Africa6c604.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.675824.1%14 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed New Zealand77c586.2$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.051822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed New Zealand75c570$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.561560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cb…d9d2backed South Africa40c544.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9deb…497abacked South Africa55c528.42$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c2…1540backed South Africa5c515$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.752250%11 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked South Africa39c510$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.532846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9a…7f89backed South Africa39c486.83$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed South Africa34c473.88$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked New Zealand59c472.04$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5428749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fd…da1abacked South Africa17c471.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3760%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Zealand60c464.72$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.136633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed New Zealand60c459.56$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8227054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked New Zealand61c456.08$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.08540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked New Zealand60c451.62$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.655244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed South Africa36c443.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4112842.2%54 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd2…33f7backed South Africa23c428.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5870%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed New Zealand59c424.33$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3220037%74 W · 126 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e7f…cdffbacked New Zealand62c390$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.26048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed New Zealand62c368.76$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7612923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed South Africa41c364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed New Zealand61c335.52$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+119.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed New Zealand79c335.34$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.341450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3241…d0b5backed South Africa3c333.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4770%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed New Zealand61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed New Zealand65c306.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked South Africa42c305$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.452920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7be0…35c3backed South Africa35c300.49$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057855.1%43 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.