TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe36f…1ef4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Greece vs Israelbacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$222.77
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.59
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.99
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Kent vs Somersetbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.98
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Belize vs Brazilbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Bahamas vs Panamabacked Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
T20 Series England A vs India A, Women: England A vs India Abacked India A · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$194.99
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Somersetbacked Gloucestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.37
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshirebacked Surrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorganbacked Glamorgan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwaitbacked Malaysia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$178
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+639.8%+$167.42
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53.2
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.92
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+34.4%+$9.77
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$22.42
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+89.1%+$78.79
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+203%+$26.8
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.42
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.