Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Bahamas vs Panama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10d600ceb756228af8a1abdaf544647869d101cf90f277e20690856fc5eaa80b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panamaof Bahamas, Panama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bahamas | 33c | 2,391$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.97 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Bahamas | 57c | 1,698$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panama | 47c | 1,098$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.74 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Panama | 59c | 1,092$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.62 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bahamas | 11c | 848.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed Panama | 58c | 699.95$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bahamas | 45c | 692.18$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.04 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bahamas | 41c | 598.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bahamas | 53c | 491.66$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Bahamas | 40c | 458.49$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Panama | 50c | 436$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bahamas | 57c | 399.57$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Bahamas | 42c | 357.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bahamas | 37c | 324.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bahamas | 48c | 313.45$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Panama | 45c | 289.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Panama | 48c | 255.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Panama | 47c | 246.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Panama | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…869abacked Bahamas | 5c | 185$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bahamas | 26c | 171.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Bahamas | 54c | 143.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Panama | 53c | 142.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bahamas | 38c | 134.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Panama | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Panama | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Panama | 55c | 119.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Bahamas | 48c | 109.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Panama | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Panama | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Panama | 44c | 93.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…ea02backed Bahamas | 25c | 89.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Panama | 74c | 87.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Panama | 56c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Bahamas | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bahamas | 56c | 78.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Panama | 39c | 66.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Bahamas | 57c | 62.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Panama | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Panama | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Panama | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Panama | 63c | 53.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…4529backed Panama | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Panama | 47c | 47.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Bahamas | 59c | 46.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Bahamas | 56c | 44.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bahamas | 41c | 41.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Bahamas | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Panama | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Panama | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Panama | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Panama | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Bahamas | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Panama | 47c | 35.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Panama | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Panama | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Panama | 47c | 32.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Bahamas | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bahamas | 57c | 28.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Bahamas | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…c4b3backed Panama | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Panama | 48c | 21.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Bahamas | 56c | 20.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Panama | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Bahamas | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…1762backed Bahamas | 53c | 19.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bahamas | 62c | 16.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Panama | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.