Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Somerset
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x341b61afcdc533a3ac983ee95fd4ca0f4adf1f94076e925b7731e2fb481e2feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gloucestershireof Gloucestershire, Somerset
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Somerset | 16c | 4,623$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.04 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Somerset | 18c | 2,489$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.63 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Somerset | 22c | 1,570$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.39 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Somerset | 18c | 1,493$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.47 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Somerset | 16c | 1,480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.56 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Gloucestershire | 80c | 1,286$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.81 | 219 | 36.5%80 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Somerset | 10c | 1,182$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Somerset | 15c | 1,081$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Somerset | 56c | 803.55$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Somerset | 48c | 797.77$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Somerset | 16c | 578.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Somerset | 21c | 554.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Somerset | 7c | 545.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gloucestershire | 68c | 484.46$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Somerset | 11c | 320.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…02d6backed Somerset | 15c | 228.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…a5ffbacked Gloucestershire | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 213 | 39.4%84 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Somerset | 15c | 205.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Gloucestershire | 44c | 167.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Gloucestershire | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Gloucestershire | 45c | 141.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Somerset | 18c | 134.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Somerset | 55c | 124.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Gloucestershire | 44c | 110.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Somerset | 22c | 110.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gloucestershire | 73c | 108.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Somerset | 12c | 108$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Somerset | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Gloucestershire | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Somerset | 16c | 78.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…337dbacked Somerset | 22c | 68.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Somerset | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Somerset | 22c | 50.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Gloucestershire | 52c | 40.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9695…706ebacked Gloucestershire | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…241abacked Gloucestershire | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Somerset | 55c | 21.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Gloucestershire | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Gloucestershire | 78c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.