Cricket · resolved market
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Greece vs Israel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d449e177cbad1615cd191a8fa3bb6906bc7333cca86b04231790638ee306e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Israelof Greece, Israel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd348…0265backed Israel | 64c | 7,357$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.71 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b9…a560backed Greece | 62c | 5,887$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Israel | 40c | 2,000$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.43 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Israel | 30c | 1,844$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Greece | 51c | 1,713$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.62 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Israel | 38c | 1,603$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.3 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Greece | 37c | 729.23$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Israel | 38c | 682.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Greece | 51c | 579.57$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Israel | 41c | 526.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.64 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Israel | 39c | 525$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.38 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Israel | 38c | 492.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.95 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Greece | 11c | 473.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Greece | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.9 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Israel | 65c | 421.67$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Greece | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Greece | 61c | 399.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Israel | 39c | 280$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Greece | 56c | 251$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Greece | 66c | 246.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Greece | 55c | 223$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…8f46backed Israel | 79c | 200.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Greece | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Greece | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Greece | 60c | 196$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…e3ffbacked Israel | 39c | 189.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…1eedbacked Israel | 38c | 180.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Israel | 38c | 179.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Greece | 62c | 166.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 219 | 36.5%80 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Greece | 33c | 130.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…f651backed Greece | 61c | 128.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Greece | 65c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Greece | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Greece | 57c | 98.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Greece | 68c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Israel | 43c | 83.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 183 | 19.7%36 W · 147 L | -24.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Greece | 62c | 78.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Israel | 39c | 76.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Israel | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Greece | 56c | 63.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Israel | 38c | 54.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Israel | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Greece | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Israel | 60c | 49.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Israel | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Greece | 59c | 44.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Israel | 41c | 44.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Greece | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Israel | 56c | 32.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed Israel | 40c | 29.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Greece | 60c | 28.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Israel | 65c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Greece | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.