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NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Warriors, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,409,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,583,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,409,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,097 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82a1…e03abacked Warriors40c1,238,168$500,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500,0005952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked 76ers60c600,000$360,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Warriors0c233,468$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.864242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed 76ers60c201,430$120,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,586.4926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Warriors39c134,389$52,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,228.9672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 76ers61c100,000$60,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,50020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked 76ers60c100,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,0008961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed 76ers59c73,691$43,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,214.076654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Warriors42c66,299$27,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,845.474961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed 76ers60c56,760$34,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,60437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Warriors41c54,831$22,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,462.9813455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked 76ers58c50,897$29,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,376.6613248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers58c50,409$29,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,285.131,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers52c46,170$24,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,102.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed 76ers60c46,000$27,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,4007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked 76ers61c44,518$27,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,362.217354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Warriors41c40,695$16,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,507.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed 76ers60c40,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Warriors40c39,322$15,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,589.982,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors39c38,915$15,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,345.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Warriors41c38,000$15,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,4003839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed 76ers61c36,815$22,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,358.034742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors10c35,943$3,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,607.4781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors0c33,910$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.067211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed 76ers62c32,395$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,395.2638649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors28c30,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers62c29,982$18,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,492.5659653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…eab4backed Warriors0c29,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd595…b30bbacked Warriors76c29,318$22,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,369.934748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed 76ers58c29,000$16,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,053.2811547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Warriors42c25,950$10,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,89918151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers62c25,355$15,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,694.421,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed 76ers63c25,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,25010837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Warriors8c23,872$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.511,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers60c23,232$13,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,314.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers60c21,657$13,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,639.332,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Warriors42c20,337$8,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,558.782,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked 76ers70c20,173$14,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,025.027869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked 76ers60c20,000$11,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,066.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed 76ers56c18,827$10,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,270.853534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Warriors39c17,579$6,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,789.999838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Warriors24c16,200$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,945.0647748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors12c15,800$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.161,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed 76ers61c15,067$9,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,856.761,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8501,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked 76ers61c14,810$9,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked 76ers61c14,807$9,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,707.969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors12c14,487$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers60c13,599$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,439.796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed 76ers50c13,479$6,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,692.6834062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Warriors39c13,423$5,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,226.978445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Warriors43c13,349$5,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,69532827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Warriors42c12,294$5,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.612,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Warriors1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed 76ers16c11,982$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,033.7512529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked 76ers58c11,049$6,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,640.7266853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Warriors32c10,622$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers37c10,530$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6012,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed 76ers61c10,436$6,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,117.492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers71c10,352$7,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.411,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed 76ers61c10,224$6,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.195850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed 76ers59c10,073$5,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,119.4948944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed 76ers60c10,005$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.45251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed 76ers58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20027251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked 76ers61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9004654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1517…5b34backed Warriors70c9,590$6,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,744.272050%10 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors41c9,392$3,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.921,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 76ers41c9,170$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,407.5159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked 76ers59c9,094$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.1344459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6f…2e89backed 76ers77c8,998$6,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.042429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-56.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers31c8,982$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,227.084,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers60c8,823$5,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.2276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers62c8,810$5,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.961,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8266…fa71backed Warriors38c8,645$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.671127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed 76ers70c8,639$6,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.67259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors40c8,576$3,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Warriors22c8,243$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.671,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed 76ers61c8,105$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1617468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…fbbfbacked Warriors75c8,052$6,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,006.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ba…8a09backed 76ers60c7,912$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.214223.8%10 W · 32 L-8.2wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-48.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed 76ers58c7,449$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.4819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed 76ers62c7,301$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.29336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors0c7,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed 76ers57c7,000$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,01039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed 76ers62c6,930$4,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.515964.4%38 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers62c6,860$4,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.972,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Warriors19c6,838$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.648046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers59c6,587$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.443,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked 76ers47c6,202$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.8826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors37c6,185$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.9236741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Warriors2c6,138$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.433633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers61c5,920$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked 76ers63c5,812$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.3810547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 76ers48c5,789$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.8373649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2cc…f83ebacked Warriors38c5,520$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8f…58a9backed 76ers62c5,514$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed 76ers55c5,500$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.5722243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed 76ers58c5,500$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.6626247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors0c5,357$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.188820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.