NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8c78d3b4e293a4be835bde520eddcef6bcb9aecac7164b3d63778e19bb4398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Over | 42c | 20,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 57c | 16,167$9,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,220.55 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 44c | 10,710$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.6 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 9,332$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 54c | 4,417$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.39 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 46c | 3,757$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 10c | 3,442$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.18 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 540$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 199.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Under | 45c | 196.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 97.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…925cbacked Over | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 57c | 70.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…b4afbacked Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 72c | 64.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 52c | 52.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Over | 65c | 38.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -12.3wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. 76ers76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.