NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbe3666c50a7912758cf88e02c452f270f44e79cef7521b5c5fdfb90c8fcc5ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 53c | 36,550$19,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,243.86 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 53c | 27,727$14,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,101.66 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Over | 47c | 17,571$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 13,661$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 49c | 9,350$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 8,123$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 6,353$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.92 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Over | 49c | 6,100$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Over | 50c | 4,112$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…e4a6backed Over | 51c | 3,632$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 51c | 3,539$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 3,513$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 51c | 3,357$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.7 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,900$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…982dbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…5850backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 51c | 1,862$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.6 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 1,748$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.72 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 1,565$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.9 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 44c | 1,188$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.59 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 47c | 862.03$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.68 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 818.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.39 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…8b35backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Over | 51c | 417.65$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 48c | 207.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Under | 54c | 178.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 47c | 146$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Over | 47c | 136.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 114.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…502cbacked Over | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Over | 49c | 82.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Under | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Under | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Over | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…4a99backed Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…7d56backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…973dbacked Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…f195backed Under | 53c | 23.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. 76ers76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.