TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,590 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5137…1556backed Under65c294.04$191 inWon+$102.632,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c171.18$56 inLost-$563,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c137$99 inWon+$38.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under68c110$75 inWon+$35.261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over38c100$38 inLost-$3843453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…e5efbacked Over36c100$36 inLost-$362433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+119.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Under62c100$62 inWon+$387248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…4741backed Under66c75.98$50 inWon+$25.986065%39 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Under77c75.84$58 inWon+$17.7512156.2%68 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e07…3702backed Over34c64.79$22 inLost-$22.073240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Under67c51.34$35 inWon+$16.7314841.9%62 W · 86 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over36c50$18 inLost-$17.881,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over32c41.19$13 inLost-$13.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Over37c33.04$12 inLost-$12.068652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.