TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof 76ers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers49c9,611$4,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors47c9,058$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,832.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors48c5,576$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.5269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked 76ers52c5,010$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.4217354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors54c4,628$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.7866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed 76ers47c3,871$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.9784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers52c3,859$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.813,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa495…cc3bbacked Warriors53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f15…599fbacked Warriors53c3,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.361764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Warriors53c3,151$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.811656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked 76ers52c3,049$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.9339051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed 76ers47c2,819$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.5316339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Warriors54c2,697$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.052,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed 76ers53c2,690$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.75558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers51c2,512$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.731,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed 76ers46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed 76ers52c2,495$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.2436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors48c2,267$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.622,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Warriors47c2,125$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.2525642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers51c2,041$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.472,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed 76ers46c2,020$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.254747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c85…f893backed 76ers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-69.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x32b6…da08backed Warriors51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…d7d5backed Warriors51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ec…55ebbacked 76ers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors53c1,877$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.751,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Warriors54c1,646$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed 76ers46c1,373$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.5862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed 76ers53c1,226$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8567…514cbacked Warriors51c1,216$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.691250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed 76ers50c1,202$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.972,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Warriors45c1,120$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6111,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Warriors48c1,014$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.872,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed 76ers46c1,008$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.6835651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x935b…6221backed Warriors51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Warriors52c940.56$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4722055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb74b…d765backed Warriors47c893.62$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.622832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked 76ers46c823$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors36c805.14$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed 76ers56c760.54$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42724051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Warriors53c641.3$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.758951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed 76ers47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Warriors54c561.49$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.622,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 76ers53c555$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.157741.6%32 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers54c458$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.021,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Warriors30c450$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31525039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed 76ers52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked 76ers46c398.61$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.363836.8%14 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5fc0…a988backed 76ers47c341$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.274250%21 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed 76ers51c308.67$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.13956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked 76ers45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13518556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors48c294.74$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed 76ers47c285$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers50c280.54$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.461,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Warriors50c274.87$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1372,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c0…0aedbacked Warriors54c269$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers49c249.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed 76ers47c249$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0327547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Warriors47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers50c164.21$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.613,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors45c144.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.234,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Warriors52c135.59$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.061,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked 76ers49c129.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.782440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Warriors51c129.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.413943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed 76ers55c128.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211b…78aebacked 76ers46c112.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Warriors50c110.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.218251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked 76ers49c109.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9965950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed 76ers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5395548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Warriors55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed 76ers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed 76ers51c96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.961,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed 76ers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Warriors54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed 76ers50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked 76ers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Warriors29c78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3835326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked 76ers55c73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Warriors53c64.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9318053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed 76ers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers52c55.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.621,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f6…eafebacked Warriors50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Warriors53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…87cfbacked 76ers46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011544.3%51 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed 76ers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19f…f745backed Warriors49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.826755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x075a…8d34backed Warriors50c40.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.212858.6%75 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked 76ers54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.617447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3775…2309backed 76ers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Warriors52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4648451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0141…7df4backed 76ers52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…3017backed Warriors50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed 76ers53c31.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6663745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Warriors49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6125351%129 W · 124 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30de…849ebacked Warriors49c29.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.821060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Warriors44c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2480744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Warriors47c28.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0814841.9%62 W · 86 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…bb64backed Warriors55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94450%22 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked 76ers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.