NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2354f638580cba6d94cce91feb356bc1fa4b257b92c3eb203ab3b5d763cd7c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 6,752$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 54c | 5,951$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Under | 53c | 4,573$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Over | 47c | 2,315$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 71c | 967.41$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.29 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 934.7$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.35 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 874.02$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 680.91$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.79 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Over | 29c | 425$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 330$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 283$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 190.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…66b2backed Over | 50c | 190.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 99.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 73c | 74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 28c | 55.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 54c | 49.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 49.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…bb64backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Under | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 31.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. 76ers76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.