NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37cff07a312daba1bf955fbc0c996d41a2ff6f7093241c1614480f26b582bf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Over | 54c | 8,874$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.75 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Over | 50c | 7,724$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.15 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,673$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 47c | 2,390$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.11 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 46c | 2,102$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.08 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 50c | 1,873$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 50c | 1,845$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 1,840$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 54c | 1,065$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Under | 74c | 973.9$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.21 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 811.74$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 764$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.26 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under | 51c | 707.84$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 696.07$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.19 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 52c | 579.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Over | 52c | 574.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 52c | 296.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 53c | 281.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 261$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 255.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 200.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 52%141 W · 130 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…a196backed Under | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…b227backed Over | 54c | 187.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…c6cfbacked Under | 49c | 151.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…28fbbacked Under | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc791…63e7backed Under | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…314abacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…5cfcbacked Under | 48c | 122.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…f152backed Under | 48c | 120.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…e112backed Under | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…2808backed Under | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…b190backed Under | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fd…8b78backed Under | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…0857backed Under | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…47c0backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…21e9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…6628backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 26c | 68.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 47c | 50.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 51c | 46.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 42.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 51c | 30.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…d330backed Under | 49c | 21.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fc…1c3cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. 76ers76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.