NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22cb7f291982d6c4421755c89423b2c3027848396d5216c7bf6e5ecb91fc0e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof 76ers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 50c | 108,611$54,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,295.82 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Warriors | 52c | 49,240$25,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,635.15 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 49c | 31,881$15,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,767.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed 76ers | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed 76ers | 48c | 21,198$10,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,167.15 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 50c | 13,029$6,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,514.44 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked 76ers | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed 76ers | 49c | 10,422$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,056.78 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 49c | 8,872$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers | 52c | 8,539$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.62 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed 76ers | 49c | 5,925$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.26 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked 76ers | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 49c | 4,270$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked 76ers | 50c | 2,125$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.71 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed 76ers | 44c | 2,038$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.14 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…74c2backed Warriors | 55c | 1,980$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked 76ers | 45c | 1,980$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Warriors | 56c | 1,800$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.32 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 49c | 1,227$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Warriors | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers | 50c | 1,188$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 46c | 1,136$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Warriors | 49c | 1,120$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.18 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked 76ers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked 76ers | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed 76ers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Warriors | 52c | 581.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 49c | 418.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.38 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Warriors | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked 76ers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked 76ers | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Warriors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Warriors | 55c | 183.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked 76ers | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Warriors | 52c | 115.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…4064backed 76ers | 48c | 103.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked 76ers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…2854backed 76ers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…d370backed 76ers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked 76ers | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…a46bbacked 76ers | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed 76ers | 55c | 75.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Warriors | 55c | 72.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…90e2backed 76ers | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked 76ers | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 54c | 65.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed 76ers | 23c | 62.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked 76ers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 76ers | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers | 44c | 48.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…9b74backed Warriors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af5…7fdabacked Warriors | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Warriors | 51c | 31.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Warriors | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…f7edbacked Warriors | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Warriors | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Warriors | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked 76ers | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Warriors | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Warriors | 71c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. 76ers76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.