TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa19f…f745

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 60 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.6%+$17.13
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Bulls (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Colts (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Lions (-4.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: LAR (-10.5)backed LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Spread: Patriots (-8.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+98.3%+$44.22
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Flames vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$19.32
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.81
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+45.5%+$18.19
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+38.5%+$38.48
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.9%+$8.99
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$55.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+62.4%+$76.83
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+45.4%+$44.92
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+89%+$89.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$22.55
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+62.1%+$38.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+88.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+65.2%+$53.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Thomson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.