TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets54c24,210$13,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,182.972,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers48c18,628$8,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,897.82,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pacers47c11,111$5,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,222.1817354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b3…69bebacked Nuggets52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets53c6,293$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.7169852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers46c3,116$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.483,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers46c2,878$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Pacers46c2,813$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.8927840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers48c2,318$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a0…43cfbacked Nuggets51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x088b…bce1backed Pacers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Pacers46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69019448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Nuggets49c1,047$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53422053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Nuggets51c1,025$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.520754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pacers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets54c601.02$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.481,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Pacers46c593.88$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.187741.6%32 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers45c573.42$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Nuggets53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.045147.1%24 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pacers49c511.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.022,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pacers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers45c386.68$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers48c325.77$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.443,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Pacers49c306$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.944757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Nuggets53c297.36$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7628850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Nuggets55c291$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9552240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets52c284.55$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pacers47c269.09$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets54c214.26$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Nuggets51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9826150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Nuggets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6815657.7%90 W · 66 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Nuggets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6814763.3%93 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Nuggets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.685945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Nuggets53c164$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0895848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Nuggets53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9413953.2%74 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pacers47c149.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4937750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e5…f917backed Nuggets55c130.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Nuggets51c130$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.38450%42 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Nuggets50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Nuggets51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6512550.4%63 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Nuggets52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3819548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Nuggets54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1113754%74 W · 63 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x825a…75eebacked Pacers47c104.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Nuggets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4769049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Pacers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5da9…582ebacked Nuggets53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd83a…cdbebacked Nuggets53c94.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.331450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Nuggets55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9132853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pacers47c80.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.772,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a66…8079backed Nuggets51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Nuggets52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9215752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32da…b112backed Nuggets53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b8…68a5backed Nuggets53c74.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.176556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Nuggets55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7319957.8%115 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Pacers50c68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3416837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3775…2309backed Nuggets51c66.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb14…e0c6backed Pacers50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc6…bfb4backed Nuggets54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-63.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b99…db9abacked Nuggets53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.011866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc0d…79cbbacked Nuggets55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Pacers49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521838.1%83 W · 135 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Nuggets55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.517447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19f…f745backed Nuggets52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.086755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Nuggets53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1734556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Nuggets54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.328547.7%136 W · 149 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c0…b570backed Pacers50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7578…e5dabacked Pacers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be8…f449backed Nuggets51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Nuggets51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2212155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Nuggets52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4616849.4%83 W · 85 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Nuggets52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4635052%182 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77b…0fcfbacked Pacers48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nuggets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c44…739abacked Nuggets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…7c6cbacked Nuggets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ba2…418abacked Nuggets53c37.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8477…d936backed Pacers48c35.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-69.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked Pacers50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716253.1%86 W · 76 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Nuggets51c30.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacers47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Nuggets53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.18149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…f12fbacked Nuggets50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Nuggets51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4121756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Nuggets53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.324253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Nuggets53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Pacers47c25.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8952643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…246cbacked Pacers50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.514346.9%67 W · 76 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Pacers47c21.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48725.3%22 W · 65 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd33…81d1backed Nuggets51c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.794647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x388e…a912backed Nuggets55c19.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.69955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.