NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b8846c346a6d2cf788850191dbe2c7ad4937f46a9be02e9615939a4328b3a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 54c | 24,210$13,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,182.97 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 48c | 18,628$8,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,897.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pacers | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.18 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…69bebacked Nuggets | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 6,293$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.71 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 46c | 3,116$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 46c | 2,878$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pacers | 46c | 2,813$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.89 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 48c | 2,318$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…43cfbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…bce1backed Pacers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pacers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,047$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 54c | 601.02$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Pacers | 46c | 593.88$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.18 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 45c | 573.42$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Nuggets | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pacers | 49c | 511.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pacers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 45c | 386.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 48c | 325.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Pacers | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 297.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nuggets | 55c | 291$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 52c | 284.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pacers | 47c | 269.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets | 54c | 214.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Nuggets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nuggets | 53c | 164$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pacers | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…f917backed Nuggets | 55c | 130.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Nuggets | 51c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Nuggets | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Nuggets | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Nuggets | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Nuggets | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…75eebacked Pacers | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Nuggets | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Pacers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…cdbebacked Nuggets | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Nuggets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 47c | 80.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…8079backed Nuggets | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…b112backed Nuggets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Nuggets | 53c | 74.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Nuggets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Pacers | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3775…2309backed Nuggets | 51c | 66.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…e0c6backed Pacers | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…bfb4backed Nuggets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…db9abacked Nuggets | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Nuggets | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Pacers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Nuggets | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Nuggets | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Nuggets | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Nuggets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…b570backed Pacers | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…e5dabacked Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…f449backed Nuggets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Nuggets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Nuggets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…0fcfbacked Pacers | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…739abacked Nuggets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…7c6cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…418abacked Nuggets | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…d936backed Pacers | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Pacers | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 30.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Nuggets | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Nuggets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Nuggets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pacers | 47c | 25.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Pacers | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Pacers | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Nuggets | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…a912backed Nuggets | 55c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. PacersNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.