NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53aa49549e8945686a675bd4854fae5ccbe7359c36e4ada7400b1ed18c39b0f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 45c | 9,995$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.14 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…2b11backed Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 2,059$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 2,020$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…e970backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…6bdcbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Under | 44c | 1,823$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.45 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.6 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 50c | 1,367$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.5 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 51c | 863.03$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.15 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 592.77$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.75 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 471.45$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 56c | 449.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 57c | 350.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 55c | 223.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…6fb4backed Over | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…946dbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8c…c6d3backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…4edbbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9164…d6eebacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f63…2c66backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. PacersNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.