NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4229c1995b22bb92bfc4586ba97dd79a004de8241410707a84b24f6b671b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,294,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,295,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,294,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Pacers | 53c | 1,214,492$645,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 47c | 500,000$235,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Nuggets | 47c | 500,000$235,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,000 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 46c | 105,000$48,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,650 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 47c | 32,225$15,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,079.37 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 47c | 30,952$14,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,464.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 46c | 20,190$9,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,801.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pacers | 53c | 15,142$8,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,025.36 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pacers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Nuggets | 48c | 9,944$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.67 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Nuggets | 46c | 9,862$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.68 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec5…a219backed Nuggets | 47c | 8,734$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Nuggets | 47c | 8,467$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.39 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,553$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pacers | 52c | 4,999$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.34 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Pacers | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…dc32backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,638$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,928$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.43 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,692$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.37 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,371$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,016$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,985$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.79 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Pacers | 52c | 1,956$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Pacers | 50c | 1,783$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.5 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,195$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 907.85$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.24 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Pacers | 53c | 848.47$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.75 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 50c | 836.08$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Pacers | 54c | 720$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…f383backed Pacers | 53c | 626.18$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 612.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.34 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Pacers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pacers | 52c | 556$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Nuggets | 49c | 523.96$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.22 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 517.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Pacers | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Nuggets | 49c | 409.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pacers | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pacers | 53c | 393$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…6c48backed Pacers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nuggets | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Nuggets | 53c | 347.26$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Nuggets | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Pacers | 50c | 249.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nuggets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Pacers | 53c | 187.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nuggets | 47c | 187$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Pacers | 53c | 183.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…f7edbacked Pacers | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…6bb9backed Nuggets | 48c | 147$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Pacers | 53c | 138.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Pacers | 53c | 136.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers | 51c | 130.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Pacers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 48c | 111.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Nuggets | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Nuggets | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Pacers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 78.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 26c | 74.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Nuggets | 48c | 56.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2f38backed Nuggets | 48c | 54.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Pacers | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Nuggets | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked Nuggets | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…7976backed Nuggets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Nuggets | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…a46bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 40.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Pacers | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed Pacers | 53c | 38.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…bd4cbacked Pacers | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c9…893abacked Nuggets | 49c | 36.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Nuggets | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a075backed Nuggets | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Nuggets | 46c | 32.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Pacers | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…e164backed Nuggets | 49c | 21.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 21.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. PacersNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.