NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7286f0eea1f426e9c831ea9534d74b05c30f72096aeff6aaa66b42b9a9d10364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,573,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,591,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,573,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 903 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets | 75c | 185,000$139,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,665.36 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Pacers | 25c | 147,731$36,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,210.15 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 25c | 109,487$27,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,549.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 76c | 105,764$80,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,448.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 76c | 76,535$58,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,285.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers | 24c | 64,012$15,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200.59 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Pacers | 24c | 50,540$12,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,235.03 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 75c | 40,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pacers | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 24c | 38,652$9,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,289.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pacers | 25c | 30,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers | 1c | 29,075$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.18 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets | 75c | 24,440$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.02 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pacers | 25c | 24,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 76c | 23,493$17,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 23c | 22,171$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,207.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pacers | 17c | 16,666$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.53 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 24c | 16,325$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.26 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…3848backed Pacers | 25c | 16,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers | 0c | 15,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers | 0c | 14,409$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 25c | 14,153$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pacers | 23c | 13,364$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.38 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 75c | 13,355$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.62 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 24c | 12,655$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 1c | 12,402$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 24c | 12,053$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers | 25c | 11,949$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.52 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…24fdbacked Pacers | 25c | 11,370$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…2592backed Nuggets | 75c | 11,146$8,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…18c3backed Nuggets | 75c | 10,700$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Pacers | 24c | 10,289$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.34 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 18c | 10,229$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.85 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pacers | 25c | 10,175$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.83 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Pacers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Nuggets | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Nuggets | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets | 76c | 9,210$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.52 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 25c | 9,106$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.44 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers | 25c | 9,000$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…6383backed Nuggets | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 25c | 7,981$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pacers | 24c | 7,652$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.39 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Nuggets | 76c | 7,500$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 24c | 7,400$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers | 1c | 7,188$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pacers | 25c | 6,867$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.75 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Nuggets | 76c | 6,770$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.32 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…a198backed Nuggets | 75c | 6,666$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Pacers | 24c | 6,636$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.98 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Pacers | 25c | 6,483$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.01 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Pacers | 23c | 5,962$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.88 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers | 2c | 5,863$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 25c | 5,497$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers | 25c | 5,430$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.56 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Nuggets | 75c | 5,295$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.69 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Pacers | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Nuggets | 75c | 4,891$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.63 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Pacers | 6c | 4,534$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Nuggets | 75c | 4,303$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.82 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…66c2backed Pacers | 1c | 4,240$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 183 | 17.5%32 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pacers | 25c | 4,099$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.11 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pacers | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Nuggets | 75c | 3,900$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Pacers | 25c | 3,717$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.34 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0be…651fbacked Pacers | 0c | 3,457$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Nuggets | 75c | 3,454$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Nuggets | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…808dbacked Pacers | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Nuggets | 76c | 3,069$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.66 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacers | 1c | 3,010$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Nuggets | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Nuggets | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 22c | 2,944$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.68 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…5a9ebacked Pacers | 25c | 2,915$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Nuggets | 76c | 2,915$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Pacers | 26c | 2,913$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.27 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…ce0abacked Pacers | 24c | 2,802$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pacers | 25c | 2,775$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.75 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Pacers | 24c | 2,725$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.49 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Nuggets | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…e220backed Nuggets | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nuggets | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pacers | 25c | 2,566$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.49 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 25c | 2,561$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade4…46b5backed Nuggets | 75c | 2,533$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pacers | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…9afbbacked Pacers | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…bc12backed Pacers | 26c | 2,491$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Nuggets | 77c | 2,460$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.8 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Pacers | 21c | 2,397$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pacers | 25c | 2,305$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.2 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pacers | 26c | 2,269$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.94 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 76c | 2,222$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Pacersthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.