TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37c9…893a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+89.9%+$13.44
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.31
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+178.7%+$23.23
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+93%+$25.3
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$18.63
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+102.8%+$18.37
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.3%+$14.5
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.95
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+63.6%+$10.69
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66%+$7.95
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$58.5
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+30.1%+$31.53
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+103.9%+$51.1
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+50.1%+$12.84
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+84.4%+$26.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+111.5%+$18.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+185.8%+$125.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+162.9%+$27.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+60.7%+$9.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+57.8%+$6.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.