TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: North Texas (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tulaneof North Texas, Tulane
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$506,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$507,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked North Texas51c337,007$171,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,869.912759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Tulane49c241,611$118,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,221.8216234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Tulane50c121,408$61,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,243.3493548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Texas50c64,602$32,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,197.6952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed North Texas49c26,132$12,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,717.049844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Tulane49c23,980$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,229.617342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tulane49c14,492$7,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,390.9358850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0243…8586backed North Texas51c10,100$5,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,15110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…a063backed Tulane49c10,100$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Tulane51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Tulane52c6,746$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,238.0881847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed North Texas48c4,967$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3845437%20 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed Tulane53c4,800$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Tulane52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92011248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tulane50c3,730$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.248546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Texas49c3,460$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.282,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed North Texas49c3,437$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.5838450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked North Texas50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed North Texas48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Tulane51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8911540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Tulane52c1,682$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.3626147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed North Texas49c1,505$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.4710753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed North Texas49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Tulane49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.571258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed North Texas52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.884358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed North Texas49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c6c…00b9backed North Texas48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Tulane52c995$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.64748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed North Texas53c870$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked North Texas46c866.65$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6616747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed North Texas49c855$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ac…c7b0backed North Texas49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked North Texas48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Tulane54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.562536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Tulane50c548.27$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.771,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c72…9b30backed Tulane53c519.98$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+85.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Tulane49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed North Texas49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2715…6b01backed North Texas49c284.43$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed North Texas47c279.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+81.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed North Texas49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Tulane52c256.93$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3320950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Tulane54c250$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Texas52c209$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9820553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed North Texas49c207.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.934854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Tulane51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9856844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed North Texas50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked North Texas49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked North Texas52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Tulane54c138.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.886162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed North Texas51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Texas55c126$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.326940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c9…893abacked North Texas48c111.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Tulane54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.119050%45 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f79…c16cbacked Tulane53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked North Texas47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked North Texas49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tulane51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0429351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Tulane51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.311056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed North Texas49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408868.2%60 W · 28 L+10.5wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9930…2afcbacked North Texas50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…d3e6backed Tulane51c64.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed North Texas36c62.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.484548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d55…6014backed North Texas49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Tulane52c59.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.053748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed North Texas49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.467660.5%46 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Texas49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed North Texas42c53.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Tulane58c53.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.446753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tulane52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked North Texas50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed North Texas47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.511354.9%62 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa077…9c54backed Tulane53c47.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked North Texas49c44.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked North Texas47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf37a…50f2backed North Texas47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-84.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed North Texas48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a4d…0e7fbacked North Texas49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Texas55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0e…b74abacked North Texas47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Tulane53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Tulane51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1511752.1%61 W · 56 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed North Texas49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Tulane54c23.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.731553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed North Texas50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e8…c457backed Tulane50c20.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.