College Football · resolved market
North Texas vs. Tulane: O/U 67.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e366e8ec70fdf64faab530a4266796695ba720880989559961e4923533c576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 7,364$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.99 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 6,500$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 48c | 5,944$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.11 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 47c | 5,399$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.67 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,703$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.28 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Over | 48c | 1,870$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 1,373$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.04 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 48c | 1,070$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.4 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 47c | 753.06$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 46c | 477.17$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 54c | 448.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 55c | 443.15$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 278.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 268.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…1905backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 41c | 160.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 47c | 154.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 60c | 85.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 47c | 59.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…8b35backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 39.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Under | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Over | 51c | 29.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas vs. Tulane: O/U 67.5this page
- North Texas vs. TulaneTulane won
- North Texas vs. Tulane: O/U 66.5Under won
- O/U 65.5Under won
- Spread: North Texas (-1.5)Tulane won
- Spread: North Texas (-2.5)Tulane won
- Spread: North Texas (-2.5)Tulane won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.