College Football · resolved market
Spread: North Texas (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5b9853a1e310adefca46a563dc8186cb40cd933177852ba5d938e6b2434674f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulaneof North Texas, Tulane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked North Texas | 51c | 51,998$26,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,505.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Tulane | 50c | 33,258$16,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,510.94 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tulane | 49c | 11,055$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.04 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Tulane | 54c | 10,114$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.6 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Texas | 46c | 9,772$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.41 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed North Texas | 49c | 5,676$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.3 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Texas | 51c | 3,549$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.45 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tulane | 49c | 2,452$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.52 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed North Texas | 49c | 2,100$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked North Texas | 52c | 962.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed North Texas | 49c | 443$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed North Texas | 47c | 423.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed North Texas | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed North Texas | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked North Texas | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked North Texas | 47c | 161.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed North Texas | 11c | 146$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed North Texas | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Texas | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Tulane | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed North Texas | 52c | 43.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Tulane | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Tulane | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…dd1dbacked North Texas | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Tulane | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tulane | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Texas (-2.5)this page
- North Texas vs. TulaneTulane won
- North Texas vs. Tulane: O/U 66.5Under won
- North Texas vs. Tulane: O/U 67.5Under won
- O/U 65.5Under won
- Spread: North Texas (-1.5)Tulane won
- Spread: North Texas (-2.5)Tulane won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.