College Football · resolved market
North Texas vs. Tulane: O/U 66.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95d7671b7df4158e50dd3d2ce16cbba5d4cb35d0c95acf0f3939c16a2b3e5da1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 48c | 1,659$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.2 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 1,624$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.32 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 1,340$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.56 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,106$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.89 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 746$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.08 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 50c | 632$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 50c | 458.41$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Under | 50c | 365$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 52c | 348.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.53 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 92.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 58.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 51c | 48.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas vs. Tulane: O/U 66.5this page
- North Texas vs. TulaneTulane won
- North Texas vs. Tulane: O/U 67.5Under won
- O/U 65.5Under won
- Spread: North Texas (-1.5)Tulane won
- Spread: North Texas (-2.5)Tulane won
- Spread: North Texas (-2.5)Tulane won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.