TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c6c…00b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$102.1
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+168.1%+$961.24
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$136
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$400
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$356
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$196.58
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37.24
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+326.4%+$424.84
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,387Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+125.8%+$1,745.22
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+525%+$420
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,760.86
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,280.01
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.64
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+106.5%+$1,134.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+3,579.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds Over 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,992Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.3%+$1,463.75
Kyle Kuzma: Assists Over 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+7,130.6%+$1,002.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Redhawks vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$290.46
Washington State Cougars vs. LSU Tigers (W)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,696Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$12,008.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$350
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$380.73
Spread: North Texas (-2.5)backed North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$480
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30.4%+$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.