NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aee7dfa491c87f0678eafdf10d4b54c628c3b72a7596afbf06a0bce85c71ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,243,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,219,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,243,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Panthers | 24c | 500,000$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,999.99 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bills | 76c | 292,376$222,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,170.32 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Bills | 77c | 137,411$105,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,807.98 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 23c | 100,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Bills | 77c | 93,437$71,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,490.6 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bills | 77c | 90,747$69,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,076.29 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Panthers | 22c | 70,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.96 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Panthers | 22c | 62,466$13,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,807.84 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Bills | 75c | 41,072$30,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,268.11 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 78c | 38,531$30,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,303.22 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Panthers | 25c | 30,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Panthers | 23c | 27,042$6,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,209.21 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Bills | 78c | 26,984$21,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.41 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Panthers | 22c | 25,871$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,647.82 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bills | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bills | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Panthers | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Bills | 78c | 18,000$14,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Panthers | 22c | 17,810$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.2 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…0a9bbacked Panthers | 22c | 17,400$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Panthers | 23c | 15,542$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.72 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers | 12c | 15,396$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.78 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 3c | 14,108$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.73 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bills | 77c | 13,618$10,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.01 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bills | 76c | 12,733$9,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Bills | 77c | 10,087$7,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.21 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Panthers | 8c | 9,593$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.41 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Panthers | 22c | 9,049$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.75 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Panthers | 14c | 8,664$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panthers | 15c | 7,540$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.54 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Panthers | 8c | 7,402$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.03 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…8f75backed Bills | 78c | 6,200$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…924dbacked Bills | 78c | 6,200$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Panthers | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bills | 76c | 5,863$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.09 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…3c89backed Bills | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…313bbacked Bills | 78c | 4,846$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…0f55backed Panthers | 22c | 4,800$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Panthers | 24c | 4,444$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Panthers | 21c | 4,121$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.91 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bills | 78c | 3,914$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Panthers | 22c | 3,832$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.04 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bills | 80c | 3,606$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.01 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bills | 77c | 3,500$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.31 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…cc98backed Bills | 77c | 3,247$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 76c | 3,149$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.38 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Panthers | 23c | 3,023$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Bills | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Panthers | 2c | 2,961$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bills | 77c | 2,941$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.49 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Panthers | 1c | 2,922$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Bills | 77c | 2,760$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 22c | 2,485$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.73 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers | 19c | 2,473$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.63 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Panthers | 2c | 2,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Panthers | 22c | 2,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…92ccbacked Panthers | 24c | 2,045$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Panthers | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Bills | 79c | 1,947$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.87 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…3539backed Panthers | 22c | 1,800$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…dfbcbacked Bills | 79c | 1,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Panthers | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bills | 79c | 1,705$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.25 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 16c | 1,614$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.69 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Panthers | 15c | 1,613$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Panthers | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Panthers | 22c | 1,564$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.66 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Bills | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Panthers | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d85…43d8backed Bills | 78c | 1,449$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…8029backed Panthers | 23c | 1,448$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 22c | 1,401$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Panthers | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2252backed Panthers | 22c | 1,290$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Bills | 76c | 1,249$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Panthers | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…914ebacked Bills | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Panthers | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fd01backed Bills | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Panthers | 6c | 1,066$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…a48fbacked Bills | 76c | 1,065$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Panthers | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Panthers | 22c | 1,039$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…b80abacked Bills | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Panthers | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Panthers | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Panthers | 22c | 999.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Bills | 78c | 961.54$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Bills | 78c | 939.09$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…1eb7backed Panthers | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…7d07backed Bills | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bills | 77c | 772.85$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…afcebacked Bills | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Panthers | 21c | 700$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Bills | 76c | 699.97$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Panthers | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Bills | 78c | 644.36$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Panthers | 20c | 613.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Panthers | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Panthers | 21c | 593.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Panthersthis page
- Bills vs. Panthers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Bills vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Bills vs. Panthers: O/U 47.5Over won
- Bills vs. Panthers: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Bills (-7.5)Bills won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.