TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Bengals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Bengals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,421,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,283,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,421,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Bengals73c1,398,659$1,014,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014,145.348344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Jets29c586,626$170,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415,802.0417041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jets27c343,758$93,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250,684.9422950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Jets27c130,572$35,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,317.7310061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Jets28c125,193$35,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,925.0233553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets28c121,616$34,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,389.9631848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Jets28c105,530$29,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,943.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Jets29c99,800$28,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,85824456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Jets28c87,772$24,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,195.9416836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets27c85,527$22,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,754.7430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Jets29c76,823$22,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,257.761553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Jets27c60,571$16,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,372.197035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals60c54,210$32,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,781.2147738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jets27c44,591$12,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,551.3922450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets10c43,057$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,681.6420026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jets27c41,000$11,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,930.3624957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jets27c40,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,20014342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bengals69c40,000$27,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,599.9917454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jets10c33,808$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,467.2968446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x859f…1340backed Bengals74c33,784$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Jets25c33,665$8,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,132.7741947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Jets27c30,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,90017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Bengals32c22,216$7,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,192.1810026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets29c22,161$6,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,673.6144652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Jets30c20,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,0004944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Jets27c20,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,599.9919645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Jets27c18,520$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,519.548343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Jets27c16,405$4,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,971.642552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Jets28c14,474$4,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,436.0731350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf166…b79abacked Bengals73c13,699$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Jets28c12,500$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00011252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bengals74c12,471$9,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,175.543773%27 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc06a…f31fbacked Jets31c11,554$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,972.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b64…1c21backed Jets29c10,940$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,806.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+249.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Jets28c10,884$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,876.7941248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Jets28c10,714$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,714.2913142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jets35c10,134$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,549.4819235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Jets51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.111464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Jets27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,30017348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5838…8bd3backed Bengals0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jets29c9,681$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,903.667440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jets27c9,244$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,736.0114951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Jets27c9,223$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,732.7912352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d6…7f41backed Jets46c9,100$4,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jets28c9,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4808551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Jets27c8,520$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,219.592839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets27c8,369$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.2486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jets26c8,071$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,972.3712144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Bengals1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804515.6%7 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+931.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Jets27c7,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,47514450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Jets27c7,000$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.9816036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets23c6,540$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,043.8727348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jets30c6,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,55018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked Jets27c6,210$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Jets30c6,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets29c5,796$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,111.731854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Jets27c5,603$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.0318140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bengals54c5,581$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.2450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Bengals70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59a7…9f30backed Jets28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Jets28c4,543$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.991936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Bengals67c4,535$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.475246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Jets28c4,486$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.2225956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac7…5db3backed Bengals63c4,059$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Jets31c4,050$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,79512954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bengals68c4,044$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.0731056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa268…d60bbacked Bengals73c3,915$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets43c3,840$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.9460049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jets28c3,500$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Jets19c3,500$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8305234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets25c3,404$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.6511649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8b…aa7ebacked Bengals61c3,256$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bengals1c3,197$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.924311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets15c3,162$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Bengals63c3,157$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,19083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Jets18c2,953$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.835540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa962…6c41backed Jets28c2,600$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Jets30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7502842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bengals71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.9954451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jets27c2,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.9532050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Jets40c2,482$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.066965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jets29c2,423$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.6483447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bengals72c2,347$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.9720646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bengals73c2,251$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.1453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Jets28c2,250$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.2514443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Jets37c2,008$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.335949.2%29 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed6…49a1backed Jets27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Bengals71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Bengals72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed Bengals73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Jets29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4207732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Jets27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Jets28c1,998$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.552540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Jets51c1,965$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.6716344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Bengals71c1,950$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3916624.2%16 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Jets27c1,800$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31410752.3%56 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.9239754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Jets28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.9214035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Jets25c1,750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.55050%25 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.