TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Bengals (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Bengals, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$428,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$442,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Bengals47c278,847$131,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,875.58344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Jets52c53,653$27,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,753.4420755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Jets53c50,065$26,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,555.4124456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Jets51c42,000$21,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,54017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jets52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Bengals48c39,600$19,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,143.1125956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x857c…cb02backed Jets52c32,249$16,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,502.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Jets53c30,050$15,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,22617348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Jets52c20,704$10,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,977.765560%33 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Bengals50c19,966$9,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9835764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Jets55c18,182$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.8211168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jets52c17,436$9,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,381.3661148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets50c12,445$6,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,222.686547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…6055backed Bengals51c10,401$5,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,304.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Bengals50c8,006$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jets51c7,943$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.648845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Jets52c7,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets52c6,199$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.181,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Jets53c5,998$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.1733553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.1239754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc9c…d5c5backed Jets53c5,280$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.072254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bengals47c4,100$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92728447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Jets52c4,055$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.2641248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jets51c2,389$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.6383447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bengals51c1,940$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.259453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Jets53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.8914035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jets52c1,850$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88818435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Bengals49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7353638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets51c1,494$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.921,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a3…23d3backed Jets54c1,418$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…828cbacked Bengals47c1,417$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jets52c1,344$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9931240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbecc…5f5bbacked Bengals46c1,050$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4874…7123backed Bengals46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ed…7a01backed Jets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Bengals50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e3…cda8backed Jets55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.093948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Jets54c743$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.7816346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Bengals47c730$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.17150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Jets52c554.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.397444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bengals47c517.58$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fe…1656backed Bengals45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f3…c262backed Bengals49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Jets55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jets51c312.22$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9924957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Bengals51c284.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14528047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Jets54c263$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9814342%60 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Jets54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Bengals48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020949.8%104 W · 105 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Jets54c231.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5819459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x183a…d514backed Bengals46c218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2814355.2%79 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Jets54c218$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2811047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Jets53c215.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.948650%43 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc96f…d46bbacked Bengals47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f4…7942backed Bengals49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Bengals49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9827835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Jets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jets51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9855345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Jets54c188.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9231350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Jets49c187.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3939242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Bengals51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x544c…ce36backed Jets54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Bengals46c113.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525341.5%22 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Bengals47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jets54c103.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.722446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Bengals49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ea…ab9dbacked Bengals49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Bengals47c102$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.948550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Bengals51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Bengals46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Bengals50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…c716backed Bengals46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e847backed Jets53c98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…2c36backed Jets53c92.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Bengals48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Jets53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4719844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f5…009bbacked Bengals48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-79.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dba…c816backed Bengals46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Bengals49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Bengals50c68.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8a…2be8backed Bengals73c64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Bengals48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513555.6%75 W · 60 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bengals47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.529751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jets20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4048847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc286…d936backed Bengals52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc4…ef82backed Bengals53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jets55c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1522950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Jets53c43.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4617041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7259…a6c4backed Jets51c43.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Bengals50c42.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3541450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Bengals51c39.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.392254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Jets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7419651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb49e…58afbacked Bengals53c33.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6526…9c80backed Bengals47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b9…3ba6backed Jets50c30.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+64.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Jets54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3712141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Jets53c19.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1211450%57 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.