Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9cfe8ce3cb32aed53cc33541fd5b4baca621d134702473a03c0b87cb5e8d90

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,677,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,570,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,677,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7744…999ebacked Yes	3c	108,198$3,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,408.4	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-36%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb27f…8908backed Yes	0c	105,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	0c	88,100$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.78	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2171…924bbacked Yes	10c	60,864$6,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,236.73	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02e4…f0aebacked Yes	57c	58,435$33,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,044.63	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes	0c	39,400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd588…cec0backed Yes	2c	33,569$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.49	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb45…952dbacked Yes	10c	31,943$3,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,343.17	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-54%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de0…87a0backed Yes	8c	28,000$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,240	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6c…e400backed Yes	10c	26,823$2,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,671.66	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa746…d20dbacked Yes	1c	26,286$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes	5c	22,576$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.98	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.3wins	-0.33per pick	43cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d28…2ae7backed No	72c	22,507$16,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,346.01	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1070…9124backed Yes	1c	20,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	11cpaid	+737.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dcb…bf17backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes	8c	20,000$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+148.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed Yes	11c	20,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71f…31bdbacked Yes	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed8…85aebacked No	68c	19,113$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,113.28	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes	49c	18,614$9,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,170.89	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…c90dbacked Yes	6c	15,090$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.5	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed Yes	72c	15,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,799.99	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked No	33c	14,000$4,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,363.83	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb8…b90fbacked Yes	1c	12,781$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23d0…d98bbacked No	72c	12,674$9,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,593.23	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed No	25c	12,335$3,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,255.12	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+6.7wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2048…f572backed No	32c	12,314$3,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,323.43	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f0…6edabacked Yes	2c	11,500$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.3	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe521…a60ebacked Yes	7c	11,250$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x493d…8d9cbacked Yes	36c	10,856$3,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,933.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes	10c	10,383$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a4…8178backed Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes	4c	10,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d7…eaf2backed Yes	1c	10,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+307.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed No	56c	8,811$4,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,878.62	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	2c	8,770$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.17	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d2…fc10backed Yes	3c	8,485$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.25	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes	21c	7,944$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.43	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55c5…a686backed Yes	8c	7,900$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes	7c	7,819$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.84	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab8…b955backed Yes	5c	7,561$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.33	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	7,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2874…99e0backed Yes	1c	7,387$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fef…8a8fbacked Yes	68c	6,531$4,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,441.59	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+66.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1258…0c15backed Yes	6c	6,466$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.96	20	15%3 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0897…b4f4backed Yes	2c	6,308$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes	2c	6,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	4c	5,570$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a09…e317backed No	62c	5,525$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,125.07	26	84.6%22 W · 4 L	+9.8wins	+0.38per pick	47cpaid	+125.5%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	5,073$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.62	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc2…9271backed Yes	3c	5,000$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.94	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes	46c	4,999$2,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,277.37	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes	7c	4,608$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.56	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd2…772dbacked Yes	62c	4,548$2,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,831.25	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	1c	4,542$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.95	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	14cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb389…78efbacked Yes	25c	4,479$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.59	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…8826backed Yes	18c	4,428$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+109.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	15c	4,232$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.75	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	32c	4,101$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.09	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	1c	4,009$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes	4c	4,000$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1570…1404backed No	29c	3,430$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,436.6	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+307.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc9…59b7backed No	73c	3,428$2,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.9	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe866…2e9ebacked Yes	14c	3,378$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c1…e882backed Yes	6c	3,366$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b02…caa6backed Yes	13c	3,345$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.51	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb40d…37d9backed No	79c	3,260$2,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.38	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe813…c481backed Yes	8c	3,125$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a79…b0f2backed No	24c	3,112$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,374.98	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes	6c	3,108$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.27	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-4.6wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Yes	72c	3,100$2,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,232	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff87…6c51backed Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes	4c	3,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes	8c	3,000$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9373…9014backed Yes	6c	3,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	16cpaid	-88%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda4c…caf3backed Yes	1c	2,857$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Yes	4c	2,753$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes	8c	2,714$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No	27c	2,701$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,958.64	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…217ebacked Yes	5c	2,536$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.27	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes	15c	2,500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	1c	2,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0a…a34ebacked Yes	63c	2,229$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e1…45c0backed Yes	10c	2,200$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No	28c	2,158$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560.16	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+13.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5300…0625backed Yes	7c	2,143$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	2,100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7849…3254backed No	77c	2,086$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.84	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes	72c	2,073$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f2…7027backed Yes	43c	2,058$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.94	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc2b…8158backed Yes	2c	2,015$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.27	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed No	70c	2,002$1,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.56	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	65cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98b7…4947backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe541…52d6backed Yes	5c	1,873$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.4	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49a8…7153backed Yes	71c	1,852$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.73	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed No	59c	1,706$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.21	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe663…7d09backed Yes	18c	1,700$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f50…63bebacked Yes	80c	1,681$1,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,345.15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes	12c	1,667$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.04	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?this page
Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event