Token Launches · resolved market
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aea4954198d7ec8e5f7e5d858ebffdea160ef1a28c4776cdcbbc3b7b5cb3653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,056,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,895,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,056,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 1c | 236,364$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.72 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked No | 0c | 171,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…af0fbacked No | 2c | 100,109$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…14ecbacked No | 0c | 68,900$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 12c | 56,599$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…0f81backed No | 1c | 44,000$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…18b0backed No | 4c | 37,922$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed No | 6c | 36,259$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…0b97backed No | 1c | 34,930$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…f961backed No | 1c | 34,222$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed No | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 1c | 31,531$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 2c | 30,819$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.1 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…cee3backed No | 7c | 26,663$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed No | 5c | 24,345$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.66 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…c85ebacked No | 5c | 19,339$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…ff6dbacked No | 8c | 18,724$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 1c | 17,300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…55d6backed No | 1c | 16,872$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…7924backed No | 1c | 14,722$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…fe86backed No | 1c | 12,913$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked No | 3c | 11,958$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 7c | 11,849$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.25 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…beeebacked No | 0c | 11,150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 1c | 11,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…b28cbacked No | 0c | 10,675$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked No | 1c | 10,064$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…7537backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…e0a4backed No | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…d91bbacked No | 3c | 8,687$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…c5b5backed No | 1c | 8,288$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed No | 1c | 8,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…4fbcbacked No | 1c | 7,714$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…c3f0backed No | 1c | 7,404$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…c8d6backed No | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked No | 3c | 6,433$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.05 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 7c | 6,240$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.33 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 2c | 6,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed No | 9c | 5,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…c3ccbacked No | 3c | 5,770$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +525%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed No | 8c | 5,150$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked No | 2c | 4,640$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e404backed No | 9c | 4,600$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed No | 2c | 4,426$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 3c | 4,403$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 3c | 4,329$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…ce7cbacked No | 3c | 3,986$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…35c0backed No | 1c | 3,952$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…291ebacked No | 2c | 3,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…3c03backed No | 5c | 3,500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…d501backed No | 1c | 3,378$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa795…29f1backed No | 7c | 2,668$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…d6aabacked No | 2c | 2,664$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 7c | 2,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…d08bbacked No | 4c | 2,474$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3b…a4c0backed No | 2c | 2,444$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -62%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 2c | 2,365$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f08…ad05backed No | 3c | 2,256$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd5…4836backed No | 1c | 2,107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…c2e7backed No | 2c | 2,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…d591backed No | 5c | 2,100$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed No | 1c | 2,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7314…8f46backed No | 2c | 2,031$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902a…c212backed No | 2c | 1,952$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…280fbacked No | 9c | 1,887$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…6470backed No | 1c | 1,778$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 1c | 1,774$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked No | 1c | 1,718$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,538$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…f9a9backed No | 2c | 1,276$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…8e15backed No | 6c | 1,229$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…7d55backed No | 1c | 1,224$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…4f6ebacked No | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed No | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked No | 3c | 1,120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed No | 3c | 1,071$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…7eb6backed No | 3c | 1,029$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…cb9abacked No | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…d087backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…56e7backed No | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ab…7f74backed No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 1c | 954.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…f712backed No | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…1dc9backed No | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…968ebacked No | 1c | 830$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcd…7865backed No | 7c | 825.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…5b6ebacked No | 2c | 812.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…0491backed No | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…2970backed No | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…9b70backed No | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed No | 2c | 731.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…c7b4backed No | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…10a5backed No | 1c | 701.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…27a7backed No | 3c | 700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…11ccbacked No | 2c | 633.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…28f3backed No | 4c | 611.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…65efbacked No | 3c | 584.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 574.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?this page
- Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.