Token Launches · resolved market
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea6acab2dcda8bb2fdf50d332ea58c4178660dd77aeb3eda8746f475fbdece0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,953,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,165,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,953,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 28c | 143,541$39,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,965.45 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed No | 44c | 138,122$60,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,310.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 1c | 125,038$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.92 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…b08bbacked Yes | 60c | 96,567$58,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,220.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked No | 61c | 94,646$57,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,956.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed No | 37c | 80,877$29,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,001.1 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 77c | 71,423$54,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,907.81 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bce…59a2backed Yes | 63c | 61,734$38,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,696.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 39c | 61,279$23,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,954.06 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9124backed Yes | 8c | 55,899$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,530.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…1744backed Yes | 48c | 55,200$26,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,623.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 36c | 51,698$18,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,397.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…bf17backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48a…e843backed Yes | 3c | 50,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Yes | 0c | 49,700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 48c | 49,542$23,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,690.91 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 62c | 49,494$30,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,595.47 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…80e6backed No | 63c | 46,078$28,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,117.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a17…53f7backed No | 60c | 45,666$27,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,111.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 5c | 40,459$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.78 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…7537backed Yes | 5c | 38,209$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.29 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 70c | 33,868$23,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…f390backed Yes | 39c | 33,736$13,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,259.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…7a96backed No | 45c | 33,313$14,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,322.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 64c | 33,031$21,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,119 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…9e86backed Yes | 73c | 33,000$24,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,103.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…b0f2backed Yes | 38c | 31,845$12,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,177.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked No | 31c | 30,756$9,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,253.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 36cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 50c | 30,451$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,351.36 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…8ce6backed Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,029.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaee…8163backed Yes | 46c | 28,210$12,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,991.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…8218backed No | 60c | 27,493$16,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,997.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Yes | 60c | 27,316$16,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,287.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 40c | 25,783$10,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,313.34 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…7f5fbacked No | 50c | 25,737$12,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,872.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…a9a8backed No | 44c | 23,795$10,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,282.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…8ee0backed Yes | 49c | 23,444$11,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,451.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 38c | 23,166$8,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,729.16 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…0eefbacked Yes | 58c | 22,872$13,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,242.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 69c | 22,690$15,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,759.09 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…4fb3backed No | 43c | 22,683$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,958.75 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 5c | 22,388$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.16 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 10c | 21,599$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,389.08 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…35ddbacked Yes | 4c | 20,963$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked Yes | 68c | 20,947$14,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,146.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 32c | 20,895$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,208.59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…74babacked Yes | 40c | 20,086$8,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,034.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…1616backed No | 32c | 19,911$6,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,544.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…b18dbacked No | 42c | 19,615$8,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,415.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…4dfcbacked No | 60c | 19,500$11,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked No | 21c | 19,138$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,061.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 57c | 18,785$10,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,078.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…952dbacked Yes | 58c | 18,768$10,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,979.23 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 53c | 18,607$9,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,814.49 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 56c | 18,500$10,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,269.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 50c | 17,550$8,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,747.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…d7eebacked Yes | 12c | 16,987$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…9294backed Yes | 58c | 16,520$9,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,513.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed No | 60c | 16,450$9,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…6195backed Yes | 36c | 15,900$5,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,724 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 15,807$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.03 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…e0a4backed No | 66c | 15,199$10,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 8c | 15,043$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,780.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +295.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…bd40backed No | 71c | 14,960$10,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 79c | 14,091$11,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.77 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 37c | 14,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed No | 67c | 13,964$9,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.67 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…fbbfbacked No | 36c | 13,700$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 60c | 13,523$8,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,056.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Yes | 21c | 13,488$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.36 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 11c | 13,444$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 12c | 13,263$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a2d1backed Yes | 2c | 12,853$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…973ebacked No | 78c | 12,821$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed Yes | 76c | 12,820$9,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed Yes | 11c | 12,776$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 15c | 12,500$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.95 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…fcb2backed No | 17c | 12,393$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,307.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…d5a1backed No | 42c | 11,900$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 11,900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked Yes | 38c | 11,715$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…6a1dbacked No | 45c | 11,439$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 57c | 11,259$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.13 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked No | 10c | 11,184$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,084.43 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…11a0backed Yes | 54c | 11,000$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…0767backed Yes | 55c | 10,977$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…11eebacked No | 15c | 10,919$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +397.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Yes | 63c | 10,890$6,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,890.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…370ebacked No | 50c | 10,885$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…0434backed No | 20c | 10,687$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 25cpaid | +148%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…864bbacked Yes | 11c | 10,616$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…95b0backed Yes | 5c | 10,511$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 18c | 10,412$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,519.81 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…0f82backed Yes | 59c | 10,190$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,012 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…eaf2backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…59e0backed No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 4c | 9,770$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.73 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 78c | 9,645$7,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,492.63 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?this page
- Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.